Why TUSK Stock surged +3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.91 +3.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.92

Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $140.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TUSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (NASDAQ: TUSK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $2.91 (+3.19% 1D, market cap $140.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TUSK ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TUSK compare to KLXE and NINE in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), TUSK carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $122.6M) and NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUSK?
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Per TUSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001679268), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. generated $44.3M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $4.6M in net income, and -$89.1M in free cash flow against $334.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.92 (+0.38%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (9)SEC (7)Macro (11)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$4 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE TUSK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TUSK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TUSK SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$2.81-3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$2.70+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$2.78+4.7% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$2.91-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TUSK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TUSK currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.95) and Max Pain ($3.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TUSK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TUSK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TUSK Stock surged +3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) surged +3.19% to $2.91, trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($1.72 – $3.92). Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($1.72 – $3.92) with RSI-14 at 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.9% around $2.91 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live TUSK Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
Mammoth Energy Services Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Mammoth Energy Services (NASDAQ:TUSK) reported a sharp improvement in third-quarter profitability, driven by increased aviation leasing activity, stronger sand margins and higher accommodations utilization. The company a

MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Mammoth Energy Services Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Mammoth Energy Services (NASDAQ:TUSK) reported third-quarter financial results on Friday. The transcript from the company’s third-quarter earnings call has been provided below.This transcript is brought to you by

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TUSK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TUSK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TUSK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.57%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $2.82H $2.91L $2.82C $2.91VOL 136.7K
RES: $3.92SUP: $2.49SMA50: $2.95SMA200: $2.78
$4.04$3.55$3.07$2.59$2.11RES $3.92SUP $2.49$2.912026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TUSK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUSK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUSK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TUSK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUSK)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TUSK vs. KLXE, NINE, NOA, RNGR)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) ranks #192 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #182 by equity capitalization ($140.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNGR leads on earnings valuation at 29.4x trailing P/E, while RNGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. RNGR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with TUSK at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TUSK ACTIVE
Mammoth Energy Services Inc.
E 33/100 30.5x — -29.0% +3.19% $140.1M Benchmark Subject
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.
E 25/100 — 21.2% -13.8% -1.69% $122.6M /klxe-vs-tusk →
NINE
Nine Energy Service Inc.
E 18/100 — — 0.9% -3.44% $109.6M /nine-vs-tusk →
NOA
North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)
D 49/100 — — — -0.95% $347.5M /noa-vs-tusk →
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 29.4x — 4.2% -0.65% $361.3M /rngr-vs-tusk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001679268

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) reported GAAP revenue of $44.3M (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $45.6M , and -85.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.6M, operating cash flow of -$18.6M, and free cash flow of -$89.1M (-149.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUSK closed FY2025 with $334.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $44.3M $4.6M -$18.6M -$89.1M $334.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $45.6M -$207.3M $180.7M $179.5M $384.0M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $309.5M -$3.2M $31.4M $31.4M — —

3. TUSK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TUSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (NASDAQ: TUSK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $2.91 (+3.19% 1D, market cap $140.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TUSK ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TUSK compare to KLXE and NINE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), TUSK carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $122.6M) and NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUSK?

Per TUSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001679268), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. generated $44.3M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $4.6M in net income, and -$89.1M in free cash flow against $334.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TUSK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TUSK last traded at $2.91 (+3.19% on volume of 136,663 shares), positioning the stock -1.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.95) and +4.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.78). Across its 52-week range of $1.72 to $3.92, TUSK sits at the 54.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($2.65 to $3.17).

TUSK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is TUSK stock moving today?

Why TUSK Stock surged +3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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