ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MPAA // Motorcar Parts of America Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000918251 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Auto Parts:O.E.M.
$10.30 ▼ -0.35 (-3.29%)
MKT CAP: $195.0M • VOL: 79.0K
MPAA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -62.2% vs NI +163.2% • ROIC-WACC +13% • Z 1.41
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +7.9% • P/E 15.2x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did MPAA's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MPAA is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MPAA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.20%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $10.33H $10.38L $10.09C $10.30VOL 51.9K
RES: $13.89SUP: $9.77SMA50: $10.79SMA200: $11.81
$16.89$14.97$13.05$11.13$9.20RES $13.89SUP $9.77$10.302026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
MPAA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 56/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Motorcar Parts of America Inc. (MPAA) exhibits 20.2% gross margins and 21.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), balanced against a 2.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 20.2% gross profitability converts into 8.3% operating margin and 21.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 21.6% // GM: 20.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.3% paired with 7.93% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.3% // FCF YLD: 7.93%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.41 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.41 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 16.3x trailing P/E (15.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 16.3x // EV/EBITDA: 2.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $10.30 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Auto Parts:O.E.M. require continuous execution to defend 1.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.5% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 15.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 16.3x
FORWARD P/E 15.2x
EV / EBITDA 2.6x
FCF YIELD 7.93%
GROSS MARGIN 20.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.3%
NET MARGIN 1.5%
ROIC % 21.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.63
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MPAAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $9.42
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MPAA & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>