ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MOV // Movado Group Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000072573 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Consumer Specialties
$31.66 ▲ +0.55 (+1.77%)
MKT CAP: $706.4M • VOL: 134.5K
MOV // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 73/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
73 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +200% vs NI +44.6% • ROIC-WACC -0.1% • Z 4.35
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did MOV's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MOV is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MOV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.23%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $31.66H $31.70L $31.08C $31.66VOL 123.4K
RES: $32.51SUP: $29.18SMA50: $33.03SMA200: $30.92
$41.86$36.21$30.56$24.91$19.26RES $32.51SUP $29.18$31.662026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
MOV // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 46/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Movado Group Inc. (MOV) exhibits 54.2% gross margins and 8.5% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Consumer Specialties), balanced against a 14.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 54.2% gross profitability converts into 4.4% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.5% // GM: 54.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.7% paired with 7.56% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.7% // FCF YLD: 7.56%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.35 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.35 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 26.6x trailing P/E (24.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 26.6x // EV/EBITDA: 14.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $31.66 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Consumer Specialties require continuous execution to defend 4.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 4.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 26.6x
FORWARD P/E 24.7x
EV / EBITDA 14.1x
FCF YIELD 7.56%
GROSS MARGIN 54.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.4%
NET MARGIN 4.0%
ROIC % 8.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.19
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.40%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 37.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MOVPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $28.97
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MOV & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>