Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MOV

FOSL (38) ELA (55) VSTS (53) CENTA (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Movado Group Inc. (MOV) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$31.66 +1.77% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.70

Movado Group Inc. (MOV) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $706.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MOV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Movado Group Inc. (NYSE: MOV) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $31.66 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $706.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MOV ranks #281 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MOV compare to FOSL and ELA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Specialties), MOV carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.6x, gross margin of 54.2%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, FOSL (Fossil Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $405.1M) and ELA (Envela Corporation) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $295.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CENTA leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while ELA leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOV?

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Per MOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000072573), Movado Group Inc. generated $671.3M in revenue (+2.7% YoY), $26.6M in net income, and $53.4M in free cash flow against $742.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (54% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.70 (+0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MOV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MOV SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.35 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8% FCF Margin ($53.4M FCF) & 54.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$32.06+2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$32.79-5.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$30.96+2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C$31.66+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MOV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, MOV faces multiple-compression risk if 26.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 51.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.97) or 200D SMA ($30.96) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.37) toward Bear Floor ($25.25).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MOV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MOV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

43.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.35>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE61% OF RANGE

L: $18$31.66H: $41

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (54% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on MOV

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

8.5% ROIC with 54.2% gross margin and 7.56% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 4.35 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (53)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MOV

✓Strong cash generator (54% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MOV Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MOV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.47%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $31.11H $31.66L $31.11C $31.66VOL 134.5K

RES: $32.49SUP: $30.16SMA50: $32.97SMA200: $30.96

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MOV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MOV Butterfly Map → + Track MOV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

20.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MOV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MOV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MOV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MOV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #281 of 1011 ⚔️ FOSL vs MOV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MOV vs. FOSL, ELA, VSTS, CENTA)

Industry: Consumer Specialties (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Movado Group Inc. (MOV) ranks #281 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #551 by equity capitalization ($706.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CENTA leads on earnings valuation at 14.9x trailing P/E, while ELA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and 22.4% gross margin. CENTA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with MOV at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MOV ACTIVE Movado Group Inc.	C	63/100	26.6x	54.2%	8.5%	+1.77%	$706.4M	Benchmark Subject
FOSL Fossil Group Inc.	D-	38/100	—	56.1%	-7.2%	+3.01%	$405.1M	/fosl-vs-mov →
ELA Envela Corporation	D+	55/100	20.2x	22.4%	20.7%	+2.15%	$295.5M	/ela-vs-mov →
VSTS Vestis Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	2.6%	-0.26%	$2.01B	/vsts-vs-mov →
CENTA Central Garden & Pet Company Nonvoting (Class A)	B	73/100	14.9x	31.9%	9.7%	+1.25%	$2.43B	/centa-vs-mov →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000072573

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Movado Group Inc. (MOV) reported GAAP revenue of $671.3M (+2.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $653.4M , and +1.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $26.6M, operating cash flow of $57.9M, and free cash flow of $53.4M (+664.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MOV closed FY2025 with $742.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.35, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$671.3M	$26.6M	$57.9M	$53.4M	$742.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$653.4M	$18.4M	-$1.5M	-$9.5M	$729.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$664.4M	$41.3M	$76.8M	$76.8M	—	—

3. MOV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MOV compare to FOSL and ELA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOV?

Where is MOV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MOV last traded at $31.66 (+1.77% on volume of 134,454 shares), positioning the stock -3.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.97) and +2.26% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.96). Across its 52-week range of $17.61 to $40.50, MOV sits at the 61.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($30.05 to $33.27).

MOV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MOV stock right now?

Movado Group Inc. (MOV) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 54% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 27x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is MOV's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MOV's 12-month base price target is $32.37 (range $25.25 to $42.52), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: MOV RQD Cockpit MOV 12M Forecast MOV Earnings & Move MOV Dividends & DRIP MOV Insiders & 13F MOV Whale Options MOV Profit Sankey MOV News & Why