Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MOV / earnings

FOSL (39) ELA (70) VSTS (49) CENTA (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Movado Group Inc. (MOV) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5% Move

$31.66 +1.77% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.84

Movado Group Inc. (MOV) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (54% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $706.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.84 (+0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MOV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MOV SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.35 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8% FCF Margin ($53.4M FCF) & 54.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-7 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$31.57+4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$32.84-4.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$31.46+0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade B$31.66+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MOV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, MOV faces multiple-compression risk if 26.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 51.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($33.03) or 200D SMA ($30.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($33.80) toward Bear Floor ($25.96).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MOV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MOV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~89 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5% Swing Band

±$1.58 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MOV Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $1.19 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.7%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-31	$671.3M	$26.6M	$53.4M	54.2%
FY 2024	2025-01-31	$653.4M	$18.4M	-$9.5M	54%
FY 2023	2024-01-31	$664.4M	$41.3M	$76.8M	54.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MOV & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MOV
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MOV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.23%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $31.66H $31.70L $31.08C $31.66VOL 123.4K

RES: $32.51SUP: $29.18SMA50: $33.03SMA200: $30.92

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MOV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MOV Butterfly Map → + Track MOV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

20.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MOV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MOV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MOV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MOV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #116 of 1011 ⚔️ FOSL vs MOV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MOV vs. FOSL, ELA, VSTS, CENTA)

Industry: Consumer Specialties (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Movado Group Inc. (MOV) ranks #116 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #551 by equity capitalization ($706.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CENTA leads on earnings valuation at 14.9x trailing P/E, while ELA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and 22.4% gross margin. MOV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MOV ACTIVE Movado Group Inc.	B	73/100	26.6x	54.2%	8.5%	+1.77%	$706.4M	Benchmark Subject
FOSL Fossil Group Inc.	D-	39/100	—	56.1%	-7.2%	+3.01%	$405.1M	/fosl-vs-mov →
ELA Envela Corporation	B-	70/100	20.2x	22.4%	20.7%	+2.15%	$295.5M	/ela-vs-mov →
VSTS Vestis Corporation	D	49/100	—	—	2.6%	-0.26%	$2.01B	/vsts-vs-mov →
CENTA Central Garden & Pet Company Nonvoting (Class A)	B	73/100	14.9x	31.9%	9.7%	+1.25%	$2.43B	/centa-vs-mov →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000072573

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Movado Group Inc. (MOV) reported GAAP revenue of $671.3M (+2.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $653.4M , and +1.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $26.6M, operating cash flow of $57.9M, and free cash flow of $53.4M (+664.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MOV closed FY2025 with $742.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.35, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$671.3M	$26.6M	$57.9M	$53.4M	$742.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$653.4M	$18.4M	-$1.5M	-$9.5M	$729.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$664.4M	$41.3M	$76.8M	$76.8M	—	—

3. MOV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Movado Group Inc. (NYSE: MOV) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $31.66 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $706.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MOV ranks #116 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MOV compare to FOSL and ELA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Specialties), MOV carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.6x, gross margin of 54.2%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, FOSL (Fossil Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $405.1M) and ELA (Envela Corporation) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $295.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CENTA leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while ELA leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOV?

Per MOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000072573), Movado Group Inc. generated $671.3M in revenue (+2.7% YoY), $26.6M in net income, and $53.4M in free cash flow against $742.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (54% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MOV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MOV last traded at $31.66 (+1.77% on volume of 134,454 shares), positioning the stock -4.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.03) and +2.39% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.92). Across its 52-week range of $17.61 to $40.50, MOV sits at the 61.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($30.08 to $33.24).

MOV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MOV's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Movado Group Inc. (MOV)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is MOV stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5% event move for MOV, spanning a range between $30.08 and $33.24.

Direct Sub-Reports: MOV RQD Cockpit MOV 12M Forecast MOV Earnings & Move MOV Dividends & DRIP MOV Insiders & 13F MOV Whale Options MOV Profit Sankey MOV News & Why