ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MNTK // Montauk Renewables Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001826600 ↗
Energy • Natural Gas Distribution
$2.37 ▲ +0.12 (+5.33%)
MKT CAP: $337.3M • VOL: 590.2K
MNTK // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 43/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
43 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 69% • VS 200D +4.4% • RSI 68.4
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
8 / 20
WARNING
20 BASE - 12 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did MNTK's Forensic Fundamentals & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MNTK is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MNTK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +62.33%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.36H $2.40L $2.15C $2.37VOL 511.1K
RES: $3.58SUP: $2.08SMA50: $2.32SMA200: $1.74
$3.42$2.84$2.27$1.69$1.11RES $3.58SUP $2.08$2.372026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
MNTK // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Montauk Renewables Inc. (MNTK) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 0.2% return on invested capital within Energy (Natural Gas Distribution), balanced against a 4.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 0.5% operating margin and 0.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.4% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.4% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.78 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.78 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 4.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $2.37 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Natural Gas Distribution require continuous execution to defend 1.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.0% // D/E: 0.48x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 4.4x
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 0.5%
NET MARGIN 1.0%
ROIC % 0.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.48x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MNTKPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $2.17
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MNTK & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>