ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MBC // MasterBrand Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001941365 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Home Furnishings
$7.17 ▲ +0.26 (+3.76%)
MKT CAP: $1.46B • VOL: 2.53M
MBC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 68% • VS 200D +6.5% • RSI 64.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +8.1% • P/E 50.8x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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MBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.16%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.23H $7.39L $7.13C $7.17VOL 2.06M
RES: $8.33SUP: $4.98SMA50: $7.34SMA200: $8.86
$11.70$10.20$8.70$7.20$5.70RES $8.33SUP $4.98$7.172026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
MBC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 35/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) exhibits 30.3% gross margins and 4.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Home Furnishings), balanced against a 12.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 30.3% gross profitability converts into 4.4% operating margin and 4.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 4.4% // GM: 30.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.3% paired with 8.05% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.3% // FCF YLD: 8.05%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.23 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.23 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 54.6x trailing P/E (50.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 54.6x // EV/EBITDA: 12.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $7.17 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Home Furnishings require continuous execution to defend 1.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.0% // D/E: 0.72x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 50.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 54.6x
FORWARD P/E 50.8x
EV / EBITDA 12.1x
FCF YIELD 8.05%
GROSS MARGIN 30.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.4%
NET MARGIN 1.0%
ROIC % 4.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +1.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.13
DEBT / EQUITY 0.72x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 54.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MBCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $6.56
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>