Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MBC

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MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.17 +3.76% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.20

MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.46B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MBC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, MasterBrand Inc. (NYSE: MBC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $7.17 (+3.76% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MBC ranks #525 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MBC compare to LZB and TILE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), MBC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.6x, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of 4.4%. By comparison, LZB (La-Z-Boy Incorporated) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 13.9%, cap $1.22B) and TILE (Interface Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 17.5%, cap $2.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LZB leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while TILE leads on capital efficiency (17.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBC?

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Per MBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001941365), MasterBrand Inc. generated $2.73B in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $26.7M in net income, and $117.5M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $974.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.21 (+0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MBC SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.23 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52.5) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$6.43+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$6.43+3.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$6.68+7.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$7.17-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MBC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MBC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.30) and Max Pain ($7.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

52.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.23>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE13% OF RANGE

L: $6$7.17H: $14

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (30% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MBC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

4.4% ROIC with 30.3% gross margin and 8.05% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.23 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (43)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MBC

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MBC)

✓Walkthrough of MBC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.24%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $6.91H $7.17L $6.91C $7.17VOL 2.53M

RES: $8.30SUP: $4.93SMA50: $7.30SMA200: $8.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MBC Butterfly Map → + Track MBC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

38.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #525 of 1011 ⚔️ LZB vs MBC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MBC vs. LZB, TILE, CODI, HELE)

Industry: Home Furnishings (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) ranks #525 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #462 by equity capitalization ($1.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LZB leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while TILE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.5% ROIC and 38.7% gross margin. TILE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with MBC at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MBC ACTIVE MasterBrand Inc.	D+	52/100	54.6x	30.3%	4.4%	+3.76%	$1.46B	Benchmark Subject
LZB La-Z-Boy Incorporated	C	64/100	12.0x	44.0%	13.9%	+3.40%	$1.22B	/lzb-vs-mbc →
TILE Interface Inc.	B+	78/100	18.4x	38.7%	17.5%	+2.62%	$2.13B	/tile-vs-mbc →
CODI D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdings	E	34/100	—	43.5%	0.4%	+4.74%	$848.7M	/codi-vs-mbc →
HELE Helen of Troy Limited	D	51/100	—	45.7%	-35.0%	+1.37%	$694.9M	/hele-vs-mbc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001941365

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.73B (+1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.70B , and +0.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $26.7M, operating cash flow of $195.7M, and free cash flow of $117.5M (-44.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBC closed FY2025 with $3.10B in total assets against $974.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.23, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$2.73B	$26.7M	$195.7M	$117.5M	$3.10B	$974.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$2.70B	$125.9M	$292.0M	$211.1M	$2.93B	$1.01B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.73B	$182.0M	$405.6M	$405.6M	—	—

3. MBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MBC compare to LZB and TILE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBC?

Where is MBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MBC last traded at $7.17 (+3.76% on volume of 2,528,148 shares), positioning the stock -1.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.30) and -18.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.83). Across its 52-week range of $6.17 to $13.95, MBC sits at the 12.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($6.39 to $7.95).

MBC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MBC stock right now?

MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 52/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 55x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MBC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MBC's 12-month base price target is $6.98 (range $5.44 to $14.65), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: MBC RQD Cockpit MBC 12M Forecast MBC Earnings & Move MBC Dividends & DRIP MBC Insiders & 13F MBC Whale Options MBC Profit Sankey MBC News & Why