Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$20.18 +4.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.37

Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (61% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $508.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.37 (+0.96%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (11)SEC (14)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$27 Bull$21 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE ETD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ETD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ETD SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 27% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
78
Grade A-$20.34-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
75
Grade B+$20.03+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$20.45-1.3% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$20.18+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ETD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, ETD faces multiple-compression risk if 9.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 58.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.41) or 200D SMA ($22.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.27) toward Bear Floor ($16.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ETD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ETD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
47.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.26>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE27% OF RANGE
L: $18$20.18H: $25
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (61% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ETD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

11.8% ROIC with 60.5% gross margin and 9.92% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 4.26 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (70)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ETD
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ETD Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ETD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $20.48H $20.58L $20.18C $20.18VOL 390.7K
RES: $26.80SUP: $19.13SMA50: $21.41SMA200: $22.04
$25.87$23.81$21.75$19.70$17.64RES $26.80SUP $19.13$20.182026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ETD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ETD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ETD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ETD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ETD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #181 of 1011 ⚔️ XMAX vs ETD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ETD vs. XMAX, HBB, HELE, FLXS)

Industry: Home Furnishings (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) ranks #181 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #587 by equity capitalization ($508.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ETD leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while HBB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.3% ROIC and 25.7% gross margin. FLXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ETD at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ETD ACTIVE
Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.
B- 70/100 9.9x 60.5% 11.8% +4.02% $508.6M Benchmark Subject
XMAX
XMAX Inc.
D- 42/100 — 25.0% -5.8% -0.98% $524.8M /xmax-vs-etd →
HBB
Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company (Class A)
C 63/100 16.5x 25.7% 21.3% +3.21% $437.0M /hbb-vs-etd →
HELE
Helen of Troy Limited
D- 43/100 — 45.7% -35.0% +1.37% $694.9M /hele-vs-etd →
FLXS
Flexsteel Industries Inc.
B 72/100 15.6x 22.2% 14.8% +2.18% $314.5M /flxs-vs-etd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000896156

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) reported GAAP revenue of $614.6M (-4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $646.2M , and -22.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.6M, operating cash flow of $61.7M, and free cash flow of $50.4M (-28.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ETD closed FY2025 with $714.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.26, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $614.6M $51.6M $61.7M $50.4M $714.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $646.2M $63.8M $80.2M $70.6M $732.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $791.4M $105.8M $100.7M $100.7M — —

3. ETD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ETD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (NYSE: ETD) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $20.18 (+4.02% 1D, market cap $508.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ETD ranks #181 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ETD compare to XMAX and HBB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), ETD carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of 60.5%, and ROIC of 11.8%. By comparison, XMAX (XMAX Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $524.8M) and HBB (Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $437.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ETD leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while HBB leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ETD?

Per ETD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000896156), Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. generated $614.6M in revenue (-4.9% YoY), $51.6M in net income, and $50.4M in free cash flow against $714.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ETD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ETD last traded at $20.18 (+4.02% on volume of 598,755 shares), positioning the stock -5.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.41) and -8.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.04). Across its 52-week range of $18.28 to $25.26, ETD sits at the 27.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($19.05 to $21.31).

ETD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ETD stock right now?

Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (61% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is ETD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ETD's 12-month base price target is $21.27 (range $16.55 to $26.52), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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