Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ETD / forecast

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Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$20.18 +4.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.37

Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (61% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $508.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.37 (+0.96%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ETD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ETD SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 27% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$20.34-1.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$20.03+2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$20.45-1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$20.18+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ETD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, ETD faces multiple-compression risk if 9.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 58.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.41) or 200D SMA ($22.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.27) toward Bear Floor ($16.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ETD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ETD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ETD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $20.18: 495.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $16.55

$8,201

$-1,799 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $21.27

$10,540

+$540 (+5.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $26.52

$13,142

+$3,142 (+31.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$22	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$25	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$19	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ETD Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ETD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $20.48H $20.58L $20.18C $20.18VOL 390.7K

RES: $26.80SUP: $19.13SMA50: $21.41SMA200: $22.04

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ETD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ETD Butterfly Map → + Track ETD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ETD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ETD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ETD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ETD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #181 of 1011 ⚔️ XMAX vs ETD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ETD vs. XMAX, HBB, HELE, FLXS)

Industry: Home Furnishings (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) ranks #181 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #587 by equity capitalization ($508.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ETD leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while HBB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.3% ROIC and 25.7% gross margin. FLXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ETD at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ETD ACTIVE Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.	B-	70/100	9.9x	60.5%	11.8%	+4.02%	$508.6M	Benchmark Subject
XMAX XMAX Inc.	D-	42/100	—	25.0%	-5.8%	-0.98%	$524.8M	/xmax-vs-etd →
HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company (Class A)	C	63/100	16.5x	25.7%	21.3%	+3.21%	$437.0M	/hbb-vs-etd →
HELE Helen of Troy Limited	D-	43/100	—	45.7%	-35.0%	+1.37%	$694.9M	/hele-vs-etd →
FLXS Flexsteel Industries Inc.	B	72/100	15.6x	22.2%	14.8%	+2.18%	$314.5M	/flxs-vs-etd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000896156

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) reported GAAP revenue of $614.6M (-4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $646.2M , and -22.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.6M, operating cash flow of $61.7M, and free cash flow of $50.4M (-28.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ETD closed FY2025 with $714.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.26, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$614.6M	$51.6M	$61.7M	$50.4M	$714.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$646.2M	$63.8M	$80.2M	$70.6M	$732.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$791.4M	$105.8M	$100.7M	$100.7M	—	—

3. ETD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ETD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (NYSE: ETD) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $20.18 (+4.02% 1D, market cap $508.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ETD ranks #181 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ETD compare to XMAX and HBB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), ETD carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of 60.5%, and ROIC of 11.8%. By comparison, XMAX (XMAX Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $524.8M) and HBB (Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $437.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ETD leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while HBB leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ETD?

Per ETD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000896156), Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. generated $614.6M in revenue (-4.9% YoY), $51.6M in net income, and $50.4M in free cash flow against $714.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ETD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ETD last traded at $20.18 (+4.02% on volume of 598,755 shares), positioning the stock -5.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.41) and -8.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.04). Across its 52-week range of $18.28 to $25.26, ETD sits at the 27.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($19.05 to $21.31).

ETD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ETD's 12-month stock price target?

Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $21.27 (+5.4% from $20.18), with a bull-case target of $26.52 and a bear-case floor of $16.55.

Is ETD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ETD B- (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 70/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ETD RQD Cockpit ETD 12M Forecast ETD Earnings & Move ETD Dividends & DRIP ETD Insiders & 13F ETD Whale Options ETD Profit Sankey ETD News & Why