Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MBC / financials

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MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$7.17 +3.76% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.20

MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.46B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.21 (+0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MBC SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.23 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4.4% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$6.61+2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$6.76+8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$7.30-1.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$7.17+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MBC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, MBC faces multiple-compression risk if 54.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.34) or 200D SMA ($8.86) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.49) toward Bear Floor ($5.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How MBC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$117.5M (4.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $2.73B

FY24

Rev $2.70B

FY25

Rev $2.73B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$2.73B	30.3%	4.4%	$26.7M	$117.5M	4.4%
FY 2024	$2.70B	32.5%	8.7%	$125.9M	$211.1M	8.5%
FY 2023	$2.73B	30.3%	11.2%	$182.0M	$405.6M	4.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MBC)

✓Walkthrough of MBC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.16%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $7.23H $7.39L $7.13C $7.17VOL 2.06M

RES: $8.33SUP: $4.98SMA50: $7.34SMA200: $8.86

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MBC Butterfly Map → + Track MBC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

38.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #220 of 1011 ⚔️ LZB vs MBC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MBC vs. LZB, TILE, CODI, HELE)

Industry: Home Furnishings (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) ranks #220 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #462 by equity capitalization ($1.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LZB leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while TILE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.5% ROIC and 38.7% gross margin. TILE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with MBC at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MBC ACTIVE MasterBrand Inc.	C+	68/100	54.6x	30.3%	4.4%	+3.76%	$1.46B	Benchmark Subject
LZB La-Z-Boy Incorporated	B	72/100	12.0x	44.0%	13.9%	+3.40%	$1.22B	/lzb-vs-mbc →
TILE Interface Inc.	B+	76/100	18.4x	38.7%	17.5%	+2.62%	$2.13B	/tile-vs-mbc →
CODI D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdings	D-	36/100	—	43.5%	0.4%	+4.74%	$848.7M	/codi-vs-mbc →
HELE Helen of Troy Limited	D-	43/100	—	45.7%	-35.0%	+1.37%	$694.9M	/hele-vs-mbc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001941365

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.73B (+1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.70B , and +0.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $26.7M, operating cash flow of $195.7M, and free cash flow of $117.5M (-44.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBC closed FY2025 with $3.10B in total assets against $974.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.23, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$2.73B	$26.7M	$195.7M	$117.5M	$3.10B	$974.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$2.70B	$125.9M	$292.0M	$211.1M	$2.93B	$1.01B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.73B	$182.0M	$405.6M	$405.6M	—	—

3. MBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MasterBrand Inc. (NYSE: MBC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $7.17 (+3.76% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MBC ranks #220 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MBC compare to LZB and TILE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), MBC carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.6x, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of 4.4%. By comparison, LZB (La-Z-Boy Incorporated) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 13.9%, cap $1.22B) and TILE (Interface Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 17.5%, cap $2.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LZB leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while TILE leads on capital efficiency (17.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBC?

Per MBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001941365), MasterBrand Inc. generated $2.73B in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $26.7M in net income, and $117.5M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $974.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MBC last traded at $7.17 (+3.76% on volume of 2,528,148 shares), positioning the stock -2.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.34) and -19.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.86). Across its 52-week range of $6.17 to $13.96, MBC sits at the 12.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($6.40 to $7.94).

MBC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is MasterBrand Inc. (MBC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), MBC converted $2.7B of revenue into a 30.3% gross margin, 4.4% operating margin, and $117.5M in free cash flow (4.3% FCF margin).

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