ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

KMT // Kennametal Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000055242 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$30.18 ▲ +0.42 (+1.41%)
MKT CAP: $2.31B • VOL: 1.55M
KMT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 70/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
70 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF -29.6% vs NI -9.7% • ROIC-WACC +0.9% • Z 3.04
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 75% • VS 200D +5.9% • RSI 59.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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KMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.04%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $29.71H $30.18L $28.64C $30.18VOL 907.4K
RES: $38.47SUP: $26.93SMA50: $30.40SMA200: $34.63
$44.87$40.47$36.07$31.67$27.27RES $38.47SUP $26.93$30.182026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
KMT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 43/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) exhibits 30.4% gross margins and 9.5% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 9.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 30.4% gross profitability converts into 7.3% operating margin and 9.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.5% // GM: 30.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -3.9% paired with 5.18% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -3.9% // FCF YLD: 5.18%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.04 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.04 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 23.4x trailing P/E (21.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 23.4x // EV/EBITDA: 9.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $30.18 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 5.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 21.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 23.4x
FORWARD P/E 21.8x
EV / EBITDA 9.9x
FCF YIELD 5.18%
GROSS MARGIN 30.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 7.3%
NET MARGIN 5.0%
ROIC % 9.5%
REV GROWTH YOY -3.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.29
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.68%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 37.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // KMTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $27.62
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>