OUST (32) CHRN (26) NN (18) HSAI (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$30.18 +1.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.20

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.31B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KMT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Kennametal Inc. (NYSE: KMT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $30.18 (+1.41% 1D, market cap $2.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KMT ranks #183 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KMT compare to OUST and CHRN in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), KMT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.4x, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, OUST (Ouster Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.1%, cap $2.32B) and CHRN (ChronoScale Holdings Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $2.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while KMT leads on capital efficiency (9.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMT?

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Per KMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000055242), Kennametal Inc. generated $1.97B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), $98.7M in net income, and $119.4M in free cash flow against $2.60B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.20 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KMT SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.1% FCF Margin ($119.4M FCF) & 30.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.4) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$31.64-3.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$30.62-2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$29.76+1.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$30.18-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KMT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, KMT faces multiple-compression risk if 23.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.40) or 200D SMA ($34.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.91) toward Bear Floor ($23.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KMT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.04>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE38% OF RANGE

L: $22$30.18H: $44

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (30% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on KMT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

9.5% ROIC with 30.4% gross margin and 5.18% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 3.04 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (52)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KMT

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KMT)

✓Walkthrough of KMT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.90%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $29.76H $30.18L $29.76C $30.18VOL 1.55M

RES: $38.43SUP: $26.89SMA50: $30.40SMA200: $34.61

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KMT Butterfly Map → + Track KMT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KMT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KMT)

Industrials Rank #183 of 485 ⚔️ OUST vs KMT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KMT vs. OUST, CHRN, NN, HSAI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kennametal Inc. (KMT) ranks #183 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #199 by equity capitalization ($2.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMT leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while KMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.5% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. KMT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KMT ACTIVE Kennametal Inc.	D+	56/100	23.4x	30.4%	9.5%	+1.41%	$2.31B	Benchmark Subject
OUST Ouster Inc.	E	32/100	—	49.3%	-30.1%	-4.37%	$2.32B	/oust-vs-kmt →
CHRN ChronoScale Holdings Corporation	E	26/100	—	9.6%	-9.3%	-8.26%	$2.27B	/chrn-vs-kmt →
NN NextNav Inc.	E	18/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.59%	$2.04B	/nn-vs-kmt →
HSAI Hesai Group	D-	38/100	32.7x	41.8%	1.8%	-6.22%	$2.04B	/hsai-vs-kmt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000055242

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Kennametal Inc. (KMT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.97B (-3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.05B , and -5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $98.7M, operating cash flow of $208.3M, and free cash flow of $119.4M (-29.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, KMT closed FY2025 with $2.60B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.04, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$1.97B	$98.7M	$208.3M	$119.4M	$2.60B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$2.05B	$109.3M	$277.1M	$169.5M	$2.44B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$2.08B	$118.5M	$257.9M	$257.9M	—	—

3. KMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does KMT compare to OUST and CHRN in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMT?

Where is KMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KMT last traded at $30.18 (+1.41% on volume of 1,547,379 shares), positioning the stock -0.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($30.40) and -12.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($34.61). Across its 52-week range of $21.70 to $43.81, KMT sits at the 38.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($28.25 to $32.11).

KMT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell KMT stock right now?

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 56/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 23x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is KMT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KMT's 12-month base price target is $29.91 (range $23.33 to $46), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: KMT RQD Cockpit KMT 12M Forecast KMT Earnings & Move KMT Dividends & DRIP KMT Insiders & 13F KMT Whale Options KMT Profit Sankey KMT News & Why