Ouster Inc. (OUST) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$32.14 -4.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Ouster Inc. (OUST) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.32B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510035
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (7)SEC (14)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target
$67 Bull$29 Base$22 Bear
📬 FREE OUST RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OUST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
12.44>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE33% OF RANGE
L: $16$32.14H: $64
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on OUST

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

-30.1% ROIC with 49.3% gross margin and -2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 12.44 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (27)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OUST
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OUST)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OUST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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OUST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.21%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $29.48H $32.14L $28.12C $32.14VOL 3.53M
RES: $43.13SUP: $26.59SMA50: $35.90SMA200: $32.42
$66.73$54.54$42.35$30.16$17.97RES $43.13SUP $26.59$32.142026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OUST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +52.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OUST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OUST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OUST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OUST)

Industrials Rank #408 of 485 ⚔️ KMT vs OUST Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (OUST vs. KMT, CHRN, QS, NN)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ouster Inc. (OUST) ranks #408 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #197 by equity capitalization ($2.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMT leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while KMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.5% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. KMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with OUST at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OUST ACTIVE
Ouster Inc.
D- 35/100 — 49.3% -30.1% -4.37% $2.32B Benchmark Subject
KMT
Kennametal Inc.
B- 70/100 23.4x 30.4% 9.5% +1.41% $2.31B /kmt-vs-oust →
CHRN
ChronoScale Holdings Corporation
E 27/100 — 9.6% -9.3% -8.26% $2.27B /chrn-vs-oust →
QS
QuantumScape Corporation (Class A)
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -0.94% $2.61B /qs-vs-oust →
NN
NextNav Inc.
E 27/100 — — -35.0% -3.59% $2.04B /nn-vs-oust →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001816581

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ouster Inc. (OUST) reported GAAP revenue of $169.4M (+52.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $111.1M , and +103.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$60.4M, operating cash flow of -$40.0M, and free cash flow of -$64.8M (-73.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OUST closed FY2025 with $349.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.44, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $169.4M -$60.4M -$40.0M -$64.8M $349.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $111.1M -$97.0M -$33.7M -$37.5M $276.1M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $83.3M -$374.1M -$137.9M -$137.9M — —

3. OUST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OUST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ouster Inc. (NASDAQ: OUST) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $32.14 (-4.37% 1D, market cap $2.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OUST ranks #408 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OUST compare to KMT and CHRN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), OUST carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 49.3%, and ROIC of -30.1%. By comparison, KMT (Kennametal Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $2.31B) and CHRN (ChronoScale Holdings Corporation) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $2.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while KMT leads on capital efficiency (9.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OUST?

Per OUST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816581), Ouster Inc. generated $169.4M in revenue (+52.5% YoY), -$60.4M in net income, and -$64.8M in free cash flow against $349.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OUST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OUST last traded at $32.14 (-4.37% on volume of 1,536,320 shares), positioning the stock -10.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.90) and -0.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.42). Across its 52-week range of $16.40 to $63.79, OUST sits at the 33.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($28.12 to $36.16).

OUST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OUST stock right now?

Ouster Inc. (OUST) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 35/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-30% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is OUST's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OUST's 12-month base price target is $28.81 (range $22.47 to $66.98), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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