MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Shares of broader software stocks are trading lower amid broader market weakness as Treasury yields rise, weighing on tech stocks.Why OUST Stock dropped -4.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$32.14 -4.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.83
Ouster Inc. (OUST) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $2.32B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.83 (-0.98%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OUST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OUST SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (40% of score)
Altman Z-Score 12.44 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (20% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$39.90-28.7% Next Q
43
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$28.43+4.4% Next Q
40
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$29.69+8.3% Next Q
38
CurrentGrade D-$32.14-8.5% Hist 90D α
35
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OUST Turnaround Squeeze
While OUST currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.90) and Max Pain ($33.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $66.98.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OUST• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OUST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why OUST Stock dropped -4.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ouster Inc. (OUST) dropped -4.37% to $32.14, trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($16.4 – $63.79). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-30% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($16.4 – $63.79) with RSI-14 at 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $32.14 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 49.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live OUST Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTBenzinga • 5d ago
Ouster Stock Surges After Stereolabs Unveils ZED Box 2Ouster shares are jumping Tuesday after its Stereolabs subsidiary launched its ZED Box 2 Series of onboard AI computers for robots.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 5d ago
Ouster Q3 Earnings on Deck: Buy, Hold or Sell OUST Stock Now?Ouster's Q3 earnings loom as Rev8 demand accelerates and smart infrastructure expands, but premium valuation and persistent losses warrant caution.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Stereolabs Launches ZED Box 2 Series for Physical AI and Vision in Production RobotsPARIS, October 27, 2026--Stereolabs, an Ouster, Inc. company and leader in 3D AI vision, today introduced the ZED Box 2 Series, a new generation of industrial edge AI computers engineered for autonomous mobile robots (AM
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 5d ago
Ouster Unit Stereolabs Launches Its ZED Box 2 Series Of AI Computers Engineered For Autonomous Mobile Robots, Robot Vision And Spatial AI SystemsZED Box 2 Max takes vision AI computing to the next level. Powered by NVIDIA® Jetson Thor™ with up to 2,070 FP4 TFLOPS and 128 GB of memory, ZED Box 2 Max is built to run generative AI, vision-language-action (VLA)
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 9d ago
Top 3 Tech Stocks That Are Set To Fly In OctoberOversold IT stocks Entegris, Applied Optoelectronics and Ouster show RSI near 30, highlighting opportunities after sharp declines.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 9d ago
Ouster (OUST) Stock Still Looks Overvalued Despite Ukraine Defense MissionsOuster has had a volatile few years, with the share price swinging sharply even as the business focuses on lidar sensors for defense, industrial and robotics uses. With the stock closing at US$27.98 and attention on its
RISK WATCHYahoo • 11d ago
Ouster Sensors Play Key Role in Forterra's Lancer Completing 1,426 Missions and 88 Casualty Evacuation Operations in UkraineSAN FRANCISCO, October 21, 2026--Ouster, Inc. (Nasdaq: OUST), a leader in sensing and perception for Physical AI, and Forterra, the leader in autonomous mission systems for military operations in contested environments,
CATALYSTYahoo • 13d ago
Ouster, Inc. (OUST) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to KnowIn the most recent trading session, Ouster, Inc. (OUST) closed at $28.86, indicating a +1.51% shift from the previous trading day.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OUST)
- ✓Walkthrough of OUST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OUST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.21%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $29.48H $32.14L $28.12C $32.14VOL 3.53M
RES: $43.13SUP: $26.59SMA50: $35.90SMA200: $32.42
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
OUST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +52.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OUST today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OUST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OUST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OUST)
Industrials Rank #408 of 485
⚔️ KMT vs OUST Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (OUST vs. KMT, CHRN, QS, NN)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ouster Inc. (OUST) ranks #408 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #197 by equity capitalization ($2.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMT leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while KMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.5% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. KMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with OUST at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUST
ACTIVE
Ouster Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | 49.3% | -30.1% | -4.37% | $2.32B | Benchmark Subject |
| KMT Kennametal Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 23.4x | 30.4% | 9.5% | +1.41% | $2.31B | /kmt-vs-oust → |
| CHRN ChronoScale Holdings Corporation | E | 27/100 | — | 9.6% | -9.3% | -8.26% | $2.27B | /chrn-vs-oust → |
| QS QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.94% | $2.61B | /qs-vs-oust → |
| NN NextNav Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.59% | $2.04B | /nn-vs-oust → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001816581In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ouster Inc. (OUST) reported GAAP revenue of $169.4M (+52.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $111.1M , and +103.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$60.4M, operating cash flow of -$40.0M, and free cash flow of -$64.8M (-73.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OUST closed FY2025 with $349.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.44, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $169.4M | -$60.4M | -$40.0M | -$64.8M | $349.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $111.1M | -$97.0M | -$33.7M | -$37.5M | $276.1M | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $83.3M | -$374.1M | -$137.9M | -$137.9M | — | — |
3. OUST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OUST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ouster Inc. (NASDAQ: OUST) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $32.14 (-4.37% 1D, market cap $2.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OUST ranks #408 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OUST compare to KMT and CHRN in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), OUST carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 49.3%, and ROIC of -30.1%. By comparison, KMT (Kennametal Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $2.31B) and CHRN (ChronoScale Holdings Corporation) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $2.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while KMT leads on capital efficiency (9.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OUST?
Per OUST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816581), Ouster Inc. generated $169.4M in revenue (+52.5% YoY), -$60.4M in net income, and -$64.8M in free cash flow against $349.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OUST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OUST last traded at $32.14 (-4.37% on volume of 1,536,320 shares), positioning the stock -10.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.90) and -0.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.42). Across its 52-week range of $16.40 to $63.79, OUST sits at the 33.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($28.12 to $36.16).
OUST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OUST stock moving today?
Why OUST Stock dropped -4.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-30% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.