Stock Ratings / Industrials / KMT / financials

OUST (35) CHRN (27) NN (27) HSAI (40) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$30.18 +1.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.33

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (30% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $2.31B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.33 (+0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KMT SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 38% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$31.92-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$30.79-4.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$29.46+2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$30.18+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KMT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, KMT faces multiple-compression risk if 23.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.40) or 200D SMA ($34.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.81) toward Bear Floor ($24.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KMT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How KMT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$119.4M (6.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $2.08B

FY24

Rev $2.05B

FY25

Rev $1.97B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.97B	30.4%	7.3%	$98.7M	$119.4M	9.5%
FY 2024	$2.05B	30.6%	8.3%	$109.3M	$169.5M	12.2%
FY 2023	$2.08B	30.4%	9.3%	$118.5M	$257.9M	9.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KMT)

✓Walkthrough of KMT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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KMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.04%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $29.71H $30.18L $28.64C $30.18VOL 907.4K

RES: $38.47SUP: $26.93SMA50: $30.40SMA200: $34.63

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KMT Butterfly Map → + Track KMT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KMT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KMT)

Industrials Rank #64 of 485 ⚔️ OUST vs KMT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KMT vs. OUST, CHRN, NN, HSAI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kennametal Inc. (KMT) ranks #64 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #199 by equity capitalization ($2.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMT leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while KMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.5% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. KMT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KMT ACTIVE Kennametal Inc.	B-	70/100	23.4x	30.4%	9.5%	+1.41%	$2.31B	Benchmark Subject
OUST Ouster Inc.	D-	35/100	—	49.3%	-30.1%	-4.37%	$2.32B	/oust-vs-kmt →
CHRN ChronoScale Holdings Corporation	E	27/100	—	9.6%	-9.3%	-8.26%	$2.27B	/chrn-vs-kmt →
NN NextNav Inc.	E	27/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.59%	$2.04B	/nn-vs-kmt →
HSAI Hesai Group	D-	40/100	32.7x	41.8%	1.8%	-6.22%	$2.04B	/hsai-vs-kmt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000055242

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Kennametal Inc. (KMT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.97B (-3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.05B , and -5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $98.7M, operating cash flow of $208.3M, and free cash flow of $119.4M (-29.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, KMT closed FY2025 with $2.60B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.04, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$1.97B	$98.7M	$208.3M	$119.4M	$2.60B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$2.05B	$109.3M	$277.1M	$169.5M	$2.44B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$2.08B	$118.5M	$257.9M	$257.9M	—	—

3. KMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Kennametal Inc. (NYSE: KMT) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $30.18 (+1.41% 1D, market cap $2.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KMT ranks #64 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KMT compare to OUST and CHRN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), KMT carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.4x, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, OUST (Ouster Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.1%, cap $2.32B) and CHRN (ChronoScale Holdings Corporation) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $2.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while KMT leads on capital efficiency (9.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMT?

Per KMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000055242), Kennametal Inc. generated $1.97B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), $98.7M in net income, and $119.4M in free cash flow against $2.60B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KMT last traded at $30.18 (+1.41% on volume of 1,547,379 shares), positioning the stock -0.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($30.40) and -12.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($34.63). Across its 52-week range of $21.70 to $43.81, KMT sits at the 38.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($28.19 to $32.17).

KMT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Kennametal Inc. (KMT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), KMT converted $2.0B of revenue into a 30.4% gross margin, 7.3% operating margin, and $119.4M in free cash flow (6.1% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: KMT RQD Cockpit KMT 12M Forecast KMT Earnings & Move KMT Dividends & DRIP KMT Insiders & 13F KMT Whale Options KMT Profit Sankey KMT News & Why