Stock Ratings / Industrials / KMT / earnings

OUST (35) CHRN (27) NN (27) HSAI (40) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.6% Move

$30.18 +1.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.33

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (30% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $2.31B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.33 (+0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KMT SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 38% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$31.92-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$30.79-4.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$29.46+2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$30.18+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KMT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, KMT faces multiple-compression risk if 23.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.40) or 200D SMA ($34.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.81) toward Bear Floor ($24.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KMT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.6% Swing Band

±$1.99 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

KMT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $1.29 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.9%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-06-30	$1.97B	$98.7M	$119.4M	30.4%
FY 2024	2024-06-30	$2.05B	$109.3M	$169.5M	30.6%
FY 2023	2023-06-30	$2.08B	$118.5M	$257.9M	30.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating KMT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on KMT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.04%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $29.71H $30.18L $28.64C $30.18VOL 907.4K

RES: $38.47SUP: $26.93SMA50: $30.40SMA200: $34.63

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KMT Butterfly Map → + Track KMT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KMT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KMT)

Industrials Rank #64 of 485 ⚔️ OUST vs KMT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KMT vs. OUST, CHRN, NN, HSAI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kennametal Inc. (KMT) ranks #64 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #199 by equity capitalization ($2.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMT leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while KMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.5% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. KMT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KMT ACTIVE Kennametal Inc.	B-	70/100	23.4x	30.4%	9.5%	+1.41%	$2.31B	Benchmark Subject
OUST Ouster Inc.	D-	35/100	—	49.3%	-30.1%	-4.37%	$2.32B	/oust-vs-kmt →
CHRN ChronoScale Holdings Corporation	E	27/100	—	9.6%	-9.3%	-8.26%	$2.27B	/chrn-vs-kmt →
NN NextNav Inc.	E	27/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.59%	$2.04B	/nn-vs-kmt →
HSAI Hesai Group	D-	40/100	32.7x	41.8%	1.8%	-6.22%	$2.04B	/hsai-vs-kmt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000055242

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Kennametal Inc. (KMT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.97B (-3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.05B , and -5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $98.7M, operating cash flow of $208.3M, and free cash flow of $119.4M (-29.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, KMT closed FY2025 with $2.60B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.04, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$1.97B	$98.7M	$208.3M	$119.4M	$2.60B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$2.05B	$109.3M	$277.1M	$169.5M	$2.44B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$2.08B	$118.5M	$257.9M	$257.9M	—	—

3. KMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Kennametal Inc. (NYSE: KMT) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $30.18 (+1.41% 1D, market cap $2.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KMT ranks #64 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KMT compare to OUST and CHRN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), KMT carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.4x, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, OUST (Ouster Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.1%, cap $2.32B) and CHRN (ChronoScale Holdings Corporation) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $2.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while KMT leads on capital efficiency (9.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMT?

Per KMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000055242), Kennametal Inc. generated $1.97B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), $98.7M in net income, and $119.4M in free cash flow against $2.60B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KMT last traded at $30.18 (+1.41% on volume of 1,547,379 shares), positioning the stock -0.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($30.40) and -12.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($34.63). Across its 52-week range of $21.70 to $43.81, KMT sits at the 38.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($28.19 to $32.17).

KMT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is KMT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Kennametal Inc. (KMT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is KMT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.6% event move for KMT, spanning a range between $28.19 and $32.17.

Direct Sub-Reports: KMT RQD Cockpit KMT 12M Forecast KMT Earnings & Move KMT Dividends & DRIP KMT Insiders & 13F KMT Whale Options KMT Profit Sankey KMT News & Why