ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HSAI // Hesai Group

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001861737 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$12.97 ▼ -0.86 (-6.22%)
MKT CAP: $2.04B • VOL: 1.38M
HSAI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 40/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
40 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
6 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -2.4% vs NI +200% • ROIC-WACC -8.3% • Z 4.21
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
14 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 6 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did HSAI's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever HSAI is Upgraded or Downgraded.

HSAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.81%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $12.35H $12.97L $12.02C $12.97VOL 2.32M
RES: $17.26SUP: $11.35SMA50: $15.84SMA200: $19.84
$25.28$21.68$18.08$14.48$10.88RES $17.26SUP $11.35$12.972026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
HSAI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 66/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Hesai Group (HSAI) exhibits 41.8% gross margins and 1.8% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 29.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 41.8% gross profitability converts into 5.6% operating margin and 1.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 1.8% // GM: 41.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +52.1% paired with -1.35% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +52.1% // FCF YLD: -1.35%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.21 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.21 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 32.7x trailing P/E (27.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 32.7x // EV/EBITDA: 29.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.97 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 14.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 14.4% // D/E: 0.03x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 27.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 32.7x
FORWARD P/E 27.5x
EV / EBITDA 29.8x
FCF YIELD -1.35%
GROSS MARGIN 41.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 5.6%
NET MARGIN 14.4%
ROIC % 1.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +52.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.40
DEBT / EQUITY 0.03x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 36.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HSAIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $11.87
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for HSAI & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>