ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CTRI // Centuri Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001981599 ↗
Energy • Oil & Gas Production
$21.54 ▲ +0.56 (+2.67%)
MKT CAP: $2.17B • VOL: 3.65M
CTRI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D (RQD 47) -> E (RQD 34)
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
34 / 100 -13D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -113.9% vs NI +200% • ROIC-WACC -2.9% • Z 2.34
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 12% • VS 200D -21.3% • RSI 60.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 9 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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CTRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.18%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $20.98H $21.54L $20.98C $21.54VOL 3.65M
RES: $21.74SUP: $16.21SMA50: $20.36SMA200: $27.36
$44.70$37.62$30.55$23.48$16.40RES $21.74SUP $16.21$21.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
CTRI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) exhibits 8.3% gross margins and 5.0% return on invested capital within Energy (Oil & Gas Production), balanced against a 16.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 8.3% gross profitability converts into 3.1% operating margin and 5.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.0% // GM: 8.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +13.1% paired with -0.38% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +13.1% // FCF YLD: -0.38%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.34 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.34 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 97.1x trailing P/E (81.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 97.1x // EV/EBITDA: 16.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $21.54 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Oil & Gas Production require continuous execution to defend 0.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.8% // D/E: 0.81x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 81.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 97.1x
FORWARD P/E 81.6x
EV / EBITDA 16.6x
FCF YIELD -0.38%
GROSS MARGIN 8.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 3.1%
NET MARGIN 0.8%
ROIC % 5.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +13.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.22
DEBT / EQUITY 0.81x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 60.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CTRIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $19.71
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>