ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CTOS // Custom Truck One Source Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001709682 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Diversified Commercial Services
$10.92 ▲ +0.15 (+1.39%)
MKT CAP: $2.48B • VOL: 1.46M
CTOS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +154.2% vs NI -8.4% • ROIC-WACC -2.6% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 58% • VS 200D +2.8% • RSI 55.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did CTOS's Forensic 10-K Risk & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever CTOS is Upgraded or Downgraded.

CTOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.86%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $10.55H $10.92L $10.31C $10.92VOL 1.10M
RES: $12.23SUP: $7.97SMA50: $9.41SMA200: $8.87
$12.64$10.94$9.24$7.54$5.84RES $12.23SUP $7.97$10.922026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CTOS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 45/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) exhibits 28.5% gross margins and 4.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Diversified Commercial Services), balanced against a 32.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 28.5% gross profitability converts into 8.6% operating margin and 4.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 4.1% // GM: 28.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +6.4% paired with 12.50% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +6.4% // FCF YLD: 12.50%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 32.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $10.92 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Diversified Commercial Services require continuous execution to defend -2.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -2.2% // D/E: 2.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 32.8x
FCF YIELD 12.50%
GROSS MARGIN 28.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.6%
NET MARGIN -2.2%
ROIC % 4.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +6.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 2.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 63.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CTOSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $9.99
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for CTOS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>