Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CTOS

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Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.92 +1.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.48B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CTOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

63.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE81% OF RANGE

L: $5$10.92H: $12

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (29% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CTOS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

4.1% ROIC with 28.5% gross margin and 12.50% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (63)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CTOS

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CTOS Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CTOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.86%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $10.55H $10.92L $10.31C $10.92VOL 1.10M

RES: $12.23SUP: $7.97SMA50: $9.41SMA200: $8.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CTOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CTOS Butterfly Map → + Track CTOS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

31.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CTOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTOS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #381 of 1011 ⚔️ VVX vs CTOS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CTOS vs. VVX, MGRC, ABM, ARLO)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) ranks #381 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #388 by equity capitalization ($2.48B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGRC leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while MGRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and 48.2% gross margin. ARLO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with CTOS at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CTOS ACTIVE Custom Truck One Source Inc.	C-	61/100	—	28.5%	4.1%	+1.39%	$2.48B	Benchmark Subject
VVX V2X Inc.	C	63/100	32.4x	8.3%	7.1%	+4.02%	$2.52B	/vvx-vs-ctos →
MGRC McGrath RentCorp	C	65/100	18.6x	48.2%	15.6%	+0.69%	$2.91B	/mgrc-vs-ctos →
ABM ABM Industries Incorporated	D+	55/100	19.5x	12.3%	7.6%	+1.18%	$3.16B	/abm-vs-ctos →
ARLO Arlo Technologies Inc.	C+	68/100	106.3x	44.0%	6.0%	+8.14%	$1.59B	/arlo-vs-ctos →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001709682

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.45B (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$31.1M, operating cash flow of $310.1M, and free cash flow of $310.1M (+154.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTOS closed FY2025 with $3.44B in total assets against $1.62B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.45B	-$31.1M	$310.1M	$310.1M	$3.44B	$1.62B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.36B	-$28.7M	$122.0M	$122.0M	$3.50B	$1.52B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.33B	$50.7M	-$30.9M	-$30.9M	—	—

3. CTOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CTOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Custom Truck One Source Inc. (NYSE: CTOS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $10.92 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $2.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CTOS ranks #381 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CTOS compare to VVX and MGRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), CTOS carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.5%, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, VVX (V2X Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.52B) and MGRC (McGrath RentCorp) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $2.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGRC leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while MGRC leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTOS?

Per CTOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001709682), Custom Truck One Source Inc. generated $1.45B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), -$31.1M in net income, and $310.1M in free cash flow against $3.44B in total assets and $1.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CTOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CTOS last traded at $10.92 (+1.39% on volume of 1,463,316 shares), positioning the stock +16.05% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.41) and +23.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.87). Across its 52-week range of $5.18 to $12.23, CTOS sits at the 81.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($9.66 to $12.18).

CTOS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CTOS stock right now?

Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 29% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is CTOS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CTOS's 12-month base price target is $11.07 (range $8.63 to $13.06), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CTOS RQD Cockpit CTOS 12M Forecast CTOS Earnings & Move CTOS Dividends & DRIP CTOS Insiders & 13F CTOS Whale Options CTOS Profit Sankey CTOS News & Why