Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 81% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 21.4% FCF Margin ($310.1M FCF) & 28.5% Gross Margin
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, CTOS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 26.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.41) or 200D SMA ($8.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.07) toward Bear Floor ($8.63).
Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) advanced +1.39% to $10.92, trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($5.18 – $12.23). Solid 29% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Custom Truck One Source’s third quarter was marked by strong performance in its rental business, which management credited to continued high demand in the transmission and distribution (T&D) end markets. CEO Ryan McMonag
Custom Truck One Source has logged a sharp share price run in recent years, which naturally puts the focus on whether the current US$10.51 level lines up with the cash the business is expected to generate. With a Discoun
Custom Truck One Source (CTOS) just put fresh numbers on the board, reporting third quarter 2026 results and updating full year guidance that gives investors more detail on revenue and profitability expectations. The ear
Custom Truck One Source came into this Q3 2026 print with a reputation as a high-growth utility and infrastructure equipment platform, trading on a rich 81x P/E and a stock that had already climbed over the past month. T
Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Manish A. Somaiya maintains Custom Truck One Source (NYSE:CTOS) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $14 to $15.
Custom Truck One Source (NYSE:CTOS) reported third-quarter results marked by record rental activity and higher profitability, prompting the company to raise its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook for the third time in 202
Rental revenue surged 20% as fleet utilization hit 81.5%, signaling strong transmission demand.
Moby summary of Custom Truck One Source, Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 27, 2026 9:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsBrian Perman - Vice President of Investor...
U.S. stocks mixed as Dow slips 0.1%; Pentair jumps 9.8% on strong Q3 results and raised FY26 sales guidance, with several stocks rallying.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTOS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) ranks #381 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #388 by equity capitalization ($2.48B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGRC leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while MGRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and 48.2% gross margin. ARLO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with CTOS at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTOS
ACTIVE
Custom Truck One Source Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | 28.5% | 4.1% | +1.39% | $2.48B | Benchmark Subject |
| VVX V2X Inc. | C | 63/100 | 32.4x | 8.3% | 7.1% | +4.02% | $2.52B | /vvx-vs-ctos → |
| MGRC McGrath RentCorp | C | 65/100 | 18.6x | 48.2% | 15.6% | +0.69% | $2.91B | /mgrc-vs-ctos → |
| ABM ABM Industries Incorporated | D+ | 55/100 | 19.5x | 12.3% | 7.6% | +1.18% | $3.16B | /abm-vs-ctos → |
| ARLO Arlo Technologies Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 106.3x | 44.0% | 6.0% | +8.14% | $1.59B | /arlo-vs-ctos → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.45B (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$31.1M, operating cash flow of $310.1M, and free cash flow of $310.1M (+154.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTOS closed FY2025 with $3.44B in total assets against $1.62B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.45B | -$31.1M | $310.1M | $310.1M | $3.44B | $1.62B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.36B | -$28.7M | $122.0M | $122.0M | $3.50B | $1.52B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.33B | $50.7M | -$30.9M | -$30.9M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Custom Truck One Source Inc. (NYSE: CTOS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $10.92 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $2.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CTOS ranks #381 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), CTOS carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.5%, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, VVX (V2X Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.52B) and MGRC (McGrath RentCorp) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $2.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGRC leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while MGRC leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).
Per CTOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001709682), Custom Truck One Source Inc. generated $1.45B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), -$31.1M in net income, and $310.1M in free cash flow against $3.44B in total assets and $1.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CTOS last traded at $10.92 (+1.39% on volume of 1,463,316 shares), positioning the stock +16.05% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.41) and +23.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.87). Across its 52-week range of $5.18 to $12.23, CTOS sits at the 81.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($9.66 to $12.18).
Why CTOS Stock advanced +1.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 29% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.