ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CRTO // Criteo S.A.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001576427 ↗
Communication Services • Advertising
$14.89 ▲ +0.43 (+2.97%)
MKT CAP: $729.6M • VOL: 339.2K
CRTO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 69/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
69 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +20.6% vs NI +29.6% • ROIC-WACC +11.2% • Z 2.14
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +0% • P/E 4.6x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did CRTO's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever CRTO is Upgraded or Downgraded.

CRTO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $15.00H $15.00L $14.42C $14.89VOL 331.7K
RES: $14.97SUP: $12.39SMA50: $16.14SMA200: $18.09
$26.08$22.80$19.51$16.22$12.93RES $14.97SUP $12.39$14.892026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CRTO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 53/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) exhibits 54.0% gross margins and 19.8% return on invested capital within Communication Services (Advertising), balanced against a 4.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 54.0% gross profitability converts into 10.4% operating margin and 19.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 19.8% // GM: 54.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.6% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.6% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.14 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.14 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 4.9x trailing P/E (4.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 4.9x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $14.89 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Advertising require continuous execution to defend 7.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.7% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 4.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 4.9x
FORWARD P/E 4.6x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 54.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 10.4%
NET MARGIN 7.7%
ROIC % 19.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.04
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 41.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CRTOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $13.62
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for CRTO & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>