Stock Ratings / Communication Services / CRTO

MNTN (75) GRPN (53) IBTA (63) ANGI (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$14.89 +2.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.94

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $729.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.94 (+0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 16% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRTO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CRTO SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 8% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16% FCF Margin ($311.2M FCF) & 54% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$15.73-2.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$15.34-3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$14.88+0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$14.89+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRTO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, CRTO faces multiple-compression risk if 4.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 51.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.14) or 200D SMA ($18.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.63) toward Bear Floor ($12.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRTO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CRTO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

41.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.14>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE8% OF RANGE

L: $14$14.89H: $25

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (54% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on CRTO

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

19.8% ROIC with 54.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.14 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (68)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CRTO

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CRTO Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CRTO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $15.00H $15.00L $14.42C $14.89VOL 331.7K

RES: $14.97SUP: $12.39SMA50: $16.14SMA200: $18.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRTO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CRTO Butterfly Map → + Track CRTO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-14.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRTO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRTO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRTO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRTO)

Communication Services Rank #15 of 132 ⚔️ MNTN vs CRTO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (CRTO vs. MNTN, GRPN, IBTA, ANGI)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Criteo S.A. (CRTO) ranks #15 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #71 by equity capitalization ($729.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRTO leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while GRPN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 56.5% ROIC and 90.8% gross margin. MNTN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with CRTO at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CRTO ACTIVE Criteo S.A.	C+	69/100	4.9x	54.0%	19.8%	+2.97%	$729.6M	Benchmark Subject
MNTN MNTN Inc. (Class A)	B	75/100	—	77.2%	19.9%	+1.65%	$736.1M	/mntn-vs-crto →
GRPN Groupon Inc.	D+	53/100	—	90.8%	56.5%	-0.97%	$661.2M	/grpn-vs-crto →
IBTA Ibotta Inc. (Class A)	C	63/100	—	79.2%	-0.7%	+2.00%	$1.14B	/ibta-vs-crto →
ANGI Angi Inc. (Class A)	C-	61/100	5.6x	95.4%	4.6%	+1.01%	$244.1M	/angi-vs-crto →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001576427

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Criteo S.A. (CRTO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.94B (+0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.93B , and -0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $149.0M, operating cash flow of $311.2M, and free cash flow of $311.2M (+20.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRTO closed FY2025 with $2.20B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.14, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.94B	$149.0M	$311.2M	$311.2M	$2.20B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.93B	$115.0M	$258.2M	$258.2M	$2.27B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.95B	$55.0M	$224.2M	$224.2M	—	—

3. CRTO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRTO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ: CRTO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $14.89 (+2.97% 1D, market cap $729.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, CRTO ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRTO compare to MNTN and GRPN in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), CRTO carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.9x, gross margin of 54.0%, and ROIC of 19.8%. By comparison, MNTN (MNTN Inc. (Class A)) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.9%, cap $736.1M) and GRPN (Groupon Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 56.5%, cap $661.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRTO leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while GRPN leads on capital efficiency (56.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRTO?

Per CRTO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001576427), Criteo S.A. generated $1.94B in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $149.0M in net income, and $311.2M in free cash flow against $2.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRTO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRTO last traded at $14.89 (+2.97% on volume of 339,232 shares), positioning the stock -7.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.14) and -17.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.09). Across its 52-week range of $13.95 to $25.29, CRTO sits at the 8.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($13.68 to $16.10).

CRTO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CRTO stock right now?

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 54% profit margin (20% return on capital), mixed timing at 5x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is CRTO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CRTO's 12-month base price target is $15.63 (range $12.19 to $26.55), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CRTO RQD Cockpit CRTO 12M Forecast CRTO Earnings & Move CRTO Dividends & DRIP CRTO Insiders & 13F CRTO Whale Options CRTO Profit Sankey CRTO News & Why