Stock Ratings / Communication Services / NCMI

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National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell NCMI stock right now?

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is NCMI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NCMI's 12-month base price target is $1.66 (range $1.29 to $4.74), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$1.76 +0.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.76

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $165.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.76 (-0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 1.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NCMI SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.13 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 20.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$2.12-2.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$2.06-8.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.89-6.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.76-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCMI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCMI currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.24) and Max Pain ($1.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.74.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NCMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 31, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

20.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.13>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE

L: $2$1.76H: $5

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NCMI

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

-3.1% ROIC with 94.7% gross margin and 1.69% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 2.13 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (45)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NCMI

✓Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCMI)

✓Walkthrough of NCMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NCMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.08%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.75H $1.76L $1.59C $1.76VOL 953.9K

RES: $4.84SUP: $1.58SMA50: $2.24SMA200: $3.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NCMI Butterfly Map → + Track NCMI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCMI)

Communication Services Rank #90 of 132 ⚔️ ANGI vs NCMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NCMI vs. ANGI, FLNT, STFS, THRY)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) ranks #90 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #91 by equity capitalization ($165.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ANGI leads on earnings valuation at 5.6x trailing P/E, while THRY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.1% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. ANGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with NCMI at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NCMI ACTIVE National CineMedia Inc.	D	46/100	—	94.7%	-3.1%	+0.57%	$165.6M	Benchmark Subject
ANGI Angi Inc. (Class A)	C-	61/100	5.6x	95.4%	4.6%	+1.01%	$244.1M	/angi-vs-ncmi →
FLNT Fluent Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-35.0%	+9.37%	$103.4M	/flnt-vs-ncmi →
STFS Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	5.7%	-35.0%	0.00%	$71.1M	/stfs-vs-ncmi →
THRY Thryv Holdings Inc.	D+	53/100	—	67.9%	10.1%	-2.34%	$55.5M	/thry-vs-ncmi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-01 • CIK 0001377630

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01), National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) reported GAAP revenue of $243.2M (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $240.8M , and +47.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.6M, operating cash flow of $8.4M, and free cash flow of $2.8M (-94.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCMI closed FY2025 with $490.6M in total assets against $12.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-01	$243.2M	-$10.6M	$8.4M	$2.8M	$490.6M	$12.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-26	$240.8M	-$22.3M	$60.3M	$54.5M	$568.6M	$10.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-28	$165.2M	$705.2M	-$6.7M	-$6.7M	—	—

3. NCMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, National CineMedia Inc. (NASDAQ: NCMI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $1.76 (+0.57% 1D, market cap $165.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NCMI ranks #90 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCMI compare to ANGI and FLNT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), NCMI carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 94.7%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, ANGI (Angi Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 5.6x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $244.1M) and FLNT (Fluent Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $103.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ANGI leads on earnings multiple (5.6x) while THRY leads on capital efficiency (10.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCMI?

Per NCMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01, CIK 0001377630), National CineMedia Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and $2.8M in free cash flow against $490.6M in total assets and $12.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCMI last traded at $1.76 (+0.57% on volume of 812,329 shares), positioning the stock -21.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.24) and -44.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.17). Across its 52-week range of $1.59 to $4.51, NCMI sits at the 5.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 20.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($1.56 to $1.96).

NCMI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NCMI stock right now?

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NCMI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NCMI's 12-month base price target is $1.66 (range $1.29 to $4.74), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NCMI RQD Cockpit NCMI 12M Forecast NCMI Earnings & Move NCMI Dividends & DRIP NCMI Insiders & 13F NCMI Whale Options NCMI Profit Sankey NCMI News & Why