Stock Ratings / Communication Services / NCMI / dividends

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National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

Q: Is NCMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, National CineMedia Inc. (NASDAQ: NCMI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $1.76 (+0.57% 1D, market cap $165.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NCMI ranks #90 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does NCMI compare to ANGI and FLNT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), NCMI carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 94.7%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, ANGI (Angi Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 5.6x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $244.1M) and FLNT (Fluent Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $103.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ANGI leads on earnings multiple (5.6x) while THRY leads on capital efficiency (10.1% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCMI?

Per NCMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01, CIK 0001377630), National CineMedia Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and $2.8M in free cash flow against $490.6M in total assets and $12.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is NCMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCMI last traded at $1.76 (+0.57% on volume of 812,329 shares), positioning the stock -21.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.24) and -44.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.17). Across its 52-week range of $1.59 to $4.51, NCMI sits at the 5.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 20.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($1.56 to $1.96).

Q: Does NCMI pay a dividend and is it safe?

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) offers a 6.89% cash dividend yield ($0.12 annualized) and 7.49% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

$1.76 +0.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.76

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $165.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.76 (-0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 1.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NCMI SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.13 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 20.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$2.12-2.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$2.06-8.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.89-6.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.76-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCMI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCMI currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.24) and Max Pain ($1.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.74.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NCMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 31, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

7.49% Total Yield

6.89% Cash ($0.12/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (11% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $28,394

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $2,127/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.1K

Yr 1

$12.3K

Yr 2

$13.7K

Yr 3

$15.2K

Yr 4

$16.9K

Yr 5

$18.7K

Yr 6

$20.8K

Yr 7

$23.0K

Yr 8

$25.6K

Yr 9

$28.4K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCMI)

✓Walkthrough of NCMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NCMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.08%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.75H $1.76L $1.59C $1.76VOL 953.9K

RES: $4.84SUP: $1.58SMA50: $2.24SMA200: $3.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NCMI Butterfly Map → + Track NCMI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCMI)

Communication Services Rank #90 of 132 ⚔️ ANGI vs NCMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NCMI vs. ANGI, FLNT, STFS, THRY)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) ranks #90 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #91 by equity capitalization ($165.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ANGI leads on earnings valuation at 5.6x trailing P/E, while THRY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.1% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. ANGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with NCMI at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NCMI ACTIVE National CineMedia Inc.	D	46/100	—	94.7%	-3.1%	+0.57%	$165.6M	Benchmark Subject
ANGI Angi Inc. (Class A)	C-	61/100	5.6x	95.4%	4.6%	+1.01%	$244.1M	/angi-vs-ncmi →
FLNT Fluent Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-35.0%	+9.37%	$103.4M	/flnt-vs-ncmi →
STFS Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	5.7%	-35.0%	0.00%	$71.1M	/stfs-vs-ncmi →
THRY Thryv Holdings Inc.	D+	53/100	—	67.9%	10.1%	-2.34%	$55.5M	/thry-vs-ncmi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-01 • CIK 0001377630

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01), National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) reported GAAP revenue of $243.2M (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $240.8M , and +47.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.6M, operating cash flow of $8.4M, and free cash flow of $2.8M (-94.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCMI closed FY2025 with $490.6M in total assets against $12.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-01	$243.2M	-$10.6M	$8.4M	$2.8M	$490.6M	$12.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-26	$240.8M	-$22.3M	$60.3M	$54.5M	$568.6M	$10.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-28	$165.2M	$705.2M	-$6.7M	-$6.7M	—	—

3. NCMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, National CineMedia Inc. (NASDAQ: NCMI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $1.76 (+0.57% 1D, market cap $165.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NCMI ranks #90 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCMI compare to ANGI and FLNT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), NCMI carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 94.7%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, ANGI (Angi Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 5.6x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $244.1M) and FLNT (Fluent Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $103.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ANGI leads on earnings multiple (5.6x) while THRY leads on capital efficiency (10.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCMI?

Per NCMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01, CIK 0001377630), National CineMedia Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and $2.8M in free cash flow against $490.6M in total assets and $12.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCMI last traded at $1.76 (+0.57% on volume of 812,329 shares), positioning the stock -21.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.24) and -44.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.17). Across its 52-week range of $1.59 to $4.51, NCMI sits at the 5.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 20.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($1.56 to $1.96).

NCMI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does NCMI pay a dividend and is it safe?

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) offers a 6.89% cash dividend yield ($0.12 annualized) and 7.49% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: NCMI RQD Cockpit NCMI 12M Forecast NCMI Earnings & Move NCMI Dividends & DRIP NCMI Insiders & 13F NCMI Whale Options NCMI Profit Sankey NCMI News & Why