ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CNR // Core Natural Resources Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001710366 ↗
Energy • Coal Mining
$87.15 ▼ -1.25 (-1.41%)
MKT CAP: $4.33B • VOL: 402.9K
CNR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D (RQD 46) -> D- (RQD 37)
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
37 / 100 -9D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -92.9% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -13.8% • Z 1.93
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
6 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 31% • VS 200D -4% • RSI 43.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.04 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.13
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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CNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.15%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $88.40H $88.40L $87.15C $87.15VOL 402.9K
RES: $108.3SUP: $86.18SMA50: $92.54SMA200: $90.81
$106.8$98.85$90.91$82.97$75.04RES $108.3SUP $86.18$87.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
CNR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 82/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -4.0% return on invested capital within Energy (Coal Mining), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -4.4% operating margin and -4.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -4.0% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +92.4% paired with 0.49% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +92.4% // FCF YLD: 0.49%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.93 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.93 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $87.15 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Coal Mining require continuous execution to defend -3.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -3.7% // D/E: 0.09x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 0.49%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -4.4%
NET MARGIN -3.7%
ROIC % -4.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +92.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.09x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.61%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 43.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CNRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $79.75
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>