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Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$87.15 -1.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.76

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.33B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.77 (-0.44%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CNR SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 31% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($21.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$88.46+2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$90.35+1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$92.10-5.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$87.15-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CNR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($92.70) and Max Pain ($91.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $120.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CNR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

43.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

1.93>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE31% OF RANGE

L: $75$87.15H: $115

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CNR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

-4.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 0.49% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 1.93 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (48)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CNR

✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNR)

✓Walkthrough of CNR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.89%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $85.98H $87.70L $85.85C $87.15VOL 306.8K

RES: $108.2SUP: $86.05SMA50: $92.70SMA200: $90.86

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNR Butterfly Map → + Track CNR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +92.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNR)

Energy Rank #164 of 211 ⚔️ HCC vs CNR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CNR vs. HCC, BTU, AMR, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) ranks #164 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #91 by equity capitalization ($4.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with CNR at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CNR ACTIVE Core Natural Resources Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-4.0%	-1.41%	$4.33B	Benchmark Subject
HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc.	D+	56/100	79.3x	22.4%	1.8%	+2.63%	$4.52B	/hcc-vs-cnr →
BTU Peabody Energy Corporation	D-	36/100	—	—	-2.1%	-1.24%	$2.71B	/btu-vs-cnr →
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	-4.1%	-0.89%	$2.05B	/amr-vs-cnr →
NRP Natural Resource Partners LP	C+	69/100	—	—	18.4%	-0.88%	$1.54B	/nrp-vs-cnr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001710366

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) reported GAAP revenue of $4.16B (+92.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.16B , and +66.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.2M, operating cash flow of $305.8M, and free cash flow of $21.2M (-92.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNR closed FY2025 with $6.13B in total assets against $317.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.16B	-$153.2M	$305.8M	$21.2M	$6.13B	$317.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.16B	$286.4M	$476.4M	$298.4M	$2.88B	$79.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.51B	$655.9M	$857.9M	$857.9M	—	—

3. CNR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Core Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: CNR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $87.15 (-1.41% 1D, market cap $4.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNR ranks #164 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNR compare to HCC and BTU in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), CNR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.52B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNR?

Per CNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710366), Core Natural Resources Inc. generated $4.16B in revenue (+92.4% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and $21.2M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $317.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNR last traded at $87.15 (-1.41% on volume of 402,906 shares), positioning the stock -5.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($92.70) and -4.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.86). Across its 52-week range of $74.75 to $114.80, CNR sits at the 31.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($80.53 to $93.77).

CNR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CNR stock right now?

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CNR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CNR's 12-month base price target is $82.44 (range $64.3 to $120.54), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CNR RQD Cockpit CNR 12M Forecast CNR Earnings & Move CNR Dividends & DRIP CNR Insiders & 13F CNR Whale Options CNR Profit Sankey CNR News & Why