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Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$116.50 -0.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $116.60

Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $1.54B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NRP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NRP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Natural Resource Partners LP (NYSE: NRP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $116.50 (-0.88% 1D, market cap $1.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NRP ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NRP compare to AMR and BTU in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), NRP carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $2.05B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRP?

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Per NRP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001171486), Natural Resource Partners LP generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $165.9M in free cash flow against $748.4M in total assets and $18.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $116.59 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 4.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NRP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NRP SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 63% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$111.11+2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$113.70+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$116.62-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$116.50+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NRP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, NRP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($111.59) or 200D SMA ($111.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($122.79) toward Bear Floor ($95.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NRP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NRP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

65.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE63% OF RANGE

L: $96$116.50H: $129

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on NRP

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

18.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 10.74% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (72)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NRP

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NRP Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NRP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.75%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $117.5H $117.5L $116.5C $116.5VOL 12.1K

RES: $118.2SUP: $107.4SMA50: $111.6SMA200: $111.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NRP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NRP Butterfly Map → + Track NRP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NRP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NRP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NRP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NRP)

Energy Rank #39 of 211 ⚔️ AMR vs NRP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NRP vs. AMR, BTU, CNR, HCC)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) ranks #39 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #128 by equity capitalization ($1.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NRP ACTIVE Natural Resource Partners LP	B-	70/100	—	—	18.4%	-0.88%	$1.54B	Benchmark Subject
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	-4.1%	-0.89%	$2.05B	/amr-vs-nrp →
BTU Peabody Energy Corporation	E	24/100	—	—	-2.1%	-1.24%	$2.71B	/btu-vs-nrp →
CNR Core Natural Resources Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-4.0%	-1.41%	$4.33B	/cnr-vs-nrp →
HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc.	D+	56/100	79.3x	22.4%	1.8%	+2.63%	$4.52B	/hcc-vs-nrp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001171486

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $232.4M , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $165.9M, and free cash flow of $165.9M (-33.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NRP closed FY2025 with $748.4M in total assets against $18.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$165.9M	$165.9M	$748.4M	$18.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$232.4M	$0	$248.5M	$248.5M	$772.9M	$127.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$278.7M	$0	$311.0M	$311.0M	—	—

3. NRP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NRP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NRP compare to AMR and BTU in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRP?

Where is NRP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NRP last traded at $116.50 (-0.88% on volume of 12,079 shares), positioning the stock +4.40% above its 50-day simple moving average ($111.59) and +4.80% above its 200-day simple moving average ($111.16). Across its 52-week range of $95.51 to $128.60, NRP sits at the 63.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($111.96 to $121.04).

NRP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NRP stock right now?

Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is NRP's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NRP's 12-month base price target is $122.79 (range $95.53 to $144.89), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NRP RQD Cockpit NRP 12M Forecast NRP Earnings & Move NRP Dividends & DRIP NRP Insiders & 13F NRP Whale Options NRP Profit Sankey NRP News & Why