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Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.6% Move

$87.15 -1.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.76

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.33B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.77 (-0.44%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CNR SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 31% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($21.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$88.46+2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$90.35+1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$92.10-5.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$87.15-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CNR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($92.70) and Max Pain ($91.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $120.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CNR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.6% Swing Band

±$6.62 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CNR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 92.4%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$4.16B	-$153.2M	$21.2M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.16B	$286.4M	$298.4M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.51B	$655.9M	$857.9M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNR)

✓Walkthrough of CNR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.89%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $85.98H $87.70L $85.85C $87.15VOL 306.8K

RES: $108.2SUP: $86.05SMA50: $92.70SMA200: $90.86

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNR Butterfly Map → + Track CNR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +92.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNR)

Energy Rank #164 of 211 ⚔️ HCC vs CNR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CNR vs. HCC, BTU, AMR, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) ranks #164 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #91 by equity capitalization ($4.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with CNR at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CNR ACTIVE Core Natural Resources Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-4.0%	-1.41%	$4.33B	Benchmark Subject
HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc.	D+	56/100	79.3x	22.4%	1.8%	+2.63%	$4.52B	/hcc-vs-cnr →
BTU Peabody Energy Corporation	D-	36/100	—	—	-2.1%	-1.24%	$2.71B	/btu-vs-cnr →
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	-4.1%	-0.89%	$2.05B	/amr-vs-cnr →
NRP Natural Resource Partners LP	C+	69/100	—	—	18.4%	-0.88%	$1.54B	/nrp-vs-cnr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001710366

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) reported GAAP revenue of $4.16B (+92.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.16B , and +66.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.2M, operating cash flow of $305.8M, and free cash flow of $21.2M (-92.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNR closed FY2025 with $6.13B in total assets against $317.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.16B	-$153.2M	$305.8M	$21.2M	$6.13B	$317.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.16B	$286.4M	$476.4M	$298.4M	$2.88B	$79.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.51B	$655.9M	$857.9M	$857.9M	—	—

3. CNR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Core Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: CNR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $87.15 (-1.41% 1D, market cap $4.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNR ranks #164 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNR compare to HCC and BTU in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), CNR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.52B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNR?

Per CNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710366), Core Natural Resources Inc. generated $4.16B in revenue (+92.4% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and $21.2M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $317.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNR last traded at $87.15 (-1.41% on volume of 402,906 shares), positioning the stock -5.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($92.70) and -4.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.86). Across its 52-week range of $74.75 to $114.80, CNR sits at the 31.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($80.53 to $93.77).

CNR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CNR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CNR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.6% event move for CNR, spanning a range between $80.53 and $93.77.

Direct Sub-Reports: CNR RQD Cockpit CNR 12M Forecast CNR Earnings & Move CNR Dividends & DRIP CNR Insiders & 13F CNR Whale Options CNR Profit Sankey CNR News & Why