ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BRBR // BellRing Brands Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001772016 ↗
Consumer Staples • Packaged Foods
$9.17 ▲ +0.11 (+1.21%)
MKT CAP: $1.05B • VOL: 3.09M
BRBR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 75/100 [B] (-2 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
73 / 100 -2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
19 / 20
STRONG
FCF +30.6% vs NI -12.3% • ROIC-WACC +37.7% • Z 4.61
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
19 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +24.7% • P/E 4.1x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did BRBR's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever BRBR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

BRBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.18%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $9.29H $9.29L $9.06C $9.17VOL 2.90M
RES: $9.69SUP: $5.43SMA50: $9.12SMA200: $13.25
$30.50$24.22$17.94$11.66$5.38RES $9.69SUP $5.43$9.172026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
BRBR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 79/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) exhibits 33.3% gross margins and 46.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Staples (Packaged Foods), balanced against a 6.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 33.3% gross profitability converts into 15.4% operating margin and 46.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 46.3% // GM: 33.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +16.1% paired with 24.74% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +16.1% // FCF YLD: 24.74%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.61 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.61 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 4.9x trailing P/E (4.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 4.9x // EV/EBITDA: 6.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $9.17 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Packaged Foods require continuous execution to defend 9.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 9.3% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 4.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 4.9x
FORWARD P/E 4.1x
EV / EBITDA 6.1x
FCF YIELD 24.74%
GROSS MARGIN 33.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 15.4%
NET MARGIN 9.3%
ROIC % 46.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +16.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.86
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 50.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BRBRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $8.39
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for BRBR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>