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BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.06 -2.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.04

BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (33% profit margin, 46% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.05B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.04 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 11.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRBR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BRBR SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.2% FCF Margin ($260.6M FCF) & 33.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$8.55+10.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$9.43+1.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$9.55-5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B$9.06+7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BRBR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, BRBR faces multiple-compression risk if 4.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.14) or 200D SMA ($13.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.75) toward Bear Floor ($7.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRBR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BRBR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 75%NO 25%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

52.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.61>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE

L: $7$9.06H: $34

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (33% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A+RQD 19 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on BRBR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (95)

46.3% ROIC with 33.3% gross margin and 24.74% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 4.61 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (63)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BRBR

✓Strong cash generator (33% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BRBR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BRBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.10%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $9.15H $9.33L $9.06C $9.06VOL 3.09M

RES: $9.73SUP: $5.52SMA50: $9.14SMA200: $13.33

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRBR Butterfly Map → + Track BRBR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-14.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRBR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRBR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRBR)

Consumer Staples Rank #10 of 146 ⚔️ SENEA vs BRBR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (BRBR vs. SENEA, SENEB, SMPL, FLO)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #73 by equity capitalization ($1.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRBR leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while BRBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.3% ROIC and 33.3% gross margin. BRBR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BRBR ACTIVE BellRing Brands Inc.	B	75/100	4.9x	33.3%	46.3%	-2.48%	$1.05B	Benchmark Subject
SENEA Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)	D	51/100	9.4x	—	16.1%	+1.54%	$1.08B	/senea-vs-brbr →
SENEB Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)	D+	57/100	9.4x	—	16.1%	0.00%	$1.08B	/seneb-vs-brbr →
SMPL The Simply Good Foods Company	C	63/100	8.9x	36.2%	6.4%	-1.66%	$925.9M	/smpl-vs-brbr →
FLO Flowers Foods Inc.	B-	70/100	15.6x	—	5.2%	+0.65%	$1.31B	/flo-vs-brbr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001772016

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.32B (+16.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.00B , and +39.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $216.2M, operating cash flow of $260.6M, and free cash flow of $260.6M (+30.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRBR closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $1.18B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.61, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$2.32B	$216.2M	$260.6M	$260.6M	$1.06B	$1.18B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$2.00B	$246.5M	$199.6M	$199.6M	$885.2M	$833.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$1.67B	$165.5M	$215.6M	$215.6M	—	—

3. BRBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, BellRing Brands Inc. (NYSE: BRBR) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $9.06 (-2.48% 1D, market cap $1.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BRBR ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BRBR compare to SENEA and SENEB in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), BRBR carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.9x, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of 46.3%. By comparison, SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B) and SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRBR leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while BRBR leads on capital efficiency (46.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRBR?

Per BRBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001772016), BellRing Brands Inc. generated $2.32B in revenue (+16.1% YoY), $216.2M in net income, and $260.6M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $1.18B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (33% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BRBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRBR last traded at $9.06 (-2.48% on volume of 2,902,198 shares), positioning the stock -0.88% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.14) and -32.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.33). Across its 52-week range of $7.33 to $33.56, BRBR sits at the 6.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($8.05 to $10.07).

BRBR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BRBR stock right now?

BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (33% profit margin, 46% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is BRBR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BRBR's 12-month base price target is $9.75 (range $7.43 to $35.24), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BRBR RQD Cockpit BRBR 12M Forecast BRBR Earnings & Move BRBR Dividends & DRIP BRBR Insiders & 13F BRBR Whale Options BRBR Profit Sankey BRBR News & Why