BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$9.06 -2.48% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.04

BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (33% profit margin, 46% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B β€’ BUY Cap $1.05B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.04 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) β€’ 11.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B
025507510075
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk B
Cash (19)Whales (7)SEC (18)Macro (12)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.6% Base Target
$35 Bull$10 Base$7 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BRBR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRBR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BRBR SCORES 75/100 (B) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.2% FCF Margin ($260.6M FCF) & 33.3% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$8.55+10.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$9.43+1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$9.55-5.1% Next Q
Current
75
Grade B$9.06+7.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (67) β†’ B (75)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BRBR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, BRBR faces multiple-compression risk if 4.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 30.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.14) or 200D SMA ($13.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.75) toward Bear Floor ($7.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRBRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBRBR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BRBR Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BRBR)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BRBR. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BRBR Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BRBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.10%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $9.15H $9.33L $9.06C $9.06VOL 3.09M
RES: $9.73SUP: $5.52SMA50: $9.14SMA200: $13.33
$30.91$24.52$18.13$11.74$5.35RES $9.73SUP $5.52$9.062026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-14.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRBR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRBR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRBR)

Consumer Staples Rank #10 of 146 βš”οΈ SENEA vs BRBR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (BRBR vs. SENEA, SENEB, SMPL, FLO)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #73 by equity capitalization ($1.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRBR leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while BRBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.3% ROIC and 33.3% gross margin. BRBR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BRBR ACTIVE
BellRing Brands Inc.
B 75/100 4.9x 33.3% 46.3% -2.48% $1.05B Benchmark Subject
SENEA
Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)
D 51/100 9.4x β€” 16.1% +1.54% $1.08B /senea-vs-brbr β†’
SENEB
Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)
D+ 57/100 9.4x β€” 16.1% 0.00% $1.08B /seneb-vs-brbr β†’
SMPL
The Simply Good Foods Company
C 63/100 8.9x 36.2% 6.4% -1.66% $925.9M /smpl-vs-brbr β†’
FLO
Flowers Foods Inc.
B- 70/100 15.6x β€” 5.2% +0.65% $1.31B /flo-vs-brbr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-30 β€’ CIK 0001772016

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.32B (+16.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.00B , and +39.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $216.2M, operating cash flow of $260.6M, and free cash flow of $260.6M (+30.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRBR closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $1.18B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.61, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $2.32B $216.2M $260.6M $260.6M $1.06B $1.18B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $2.00B $246.5M $199.6M $199.6M $885.2M $833.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.67B $165.5M $215.6M $215.6M β€” β€”

3. BRBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, BellRing Brands Inc. (NYSE: BRBR) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $9.06 (-2.48% 1D, market cap $1.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BRBR ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BRBR compare to SENEA and SENEB in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), BRBR carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.9x, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of 46.3%. By comparison, SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B) and SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRBR leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while BRBR leads on capital efficiency (46.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRBR?

Per BRBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001772016), BellRing Brands Inc. generated $2.32B in revenue (+16.1% YoY), $216.2M in net income, and $260.6M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $1.18B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (33% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BRBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRBR last traded at $9.06 (-2.48% on volume of 2,902,198 shares), positioning the stock -0.88% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.14) and -32.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.33). Across its 52-week range of $7.33 to $33.56, BRBR sits at the 6.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.2% ($8.05 to $10.07).

BRBR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are BRBR insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies BRBR leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

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