ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BCRX // BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000882796 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)
$8.52 ▲ +0.15 (+1.79%)
MKT CAP: $2.18B • VOL: 4.52M
BCRX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 78/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
78 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +200% vs NI +200% • ROIC-WACC +76.4% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +16% • P/E 7.7x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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BCRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.99%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $8.55H $8.62L $8.38C $8.52VOL 3.53M
RES: $9.19SUP: $7.49SMA50: $8.63SMA200: $8.75
$11.48$10.41$9.33$8.26$7.19RES $9.19SUP $7.49$8.522026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
BCRX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 85.0% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), balanced against a 6.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 85.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 85.0% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 15.96% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 15.96%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 8.3x trailing P/E (7.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 8.3x // EV/EBITDA: 6.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $8.52 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) require continuous execution to defend — net margins.

NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 7.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 8.3x
FORWARD P/E 7.7x
EV / EBITDA 6.1x
FCF YIELD 15.96%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN —
ROIC % 85.0%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.03
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 54.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BCRXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $7.80
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>