ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AXR // AMREP Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000006207 ↗
Real Estate • Homebuilding
$21.11 ▲ +0.13 (+0.62%)
MKT CAP: $112.4M • VOL: 4.1K
AXR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 76/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
76 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +32.3% vs NI -18.3% • ROIC-WACC +2.4% • Z 16.45
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +11.4% • P/E 10x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did AXR's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever AXR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

AXR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $20.90H $21.11L $20.59C $21.11VOL 3.6K
RES: $21.92SUP: $19.13SMA50: $21.90SMA200: $24.29
$29.68$26.91$24.14$21.37$18.60RES $21.92SUP $19.13$21.112026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
AXR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

AMREP Corporation (AXR) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 11.0% return on invested capital within Real Estate (Homebuilding), balanced against a 5.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 23.4% operating margin and 11.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 11.0% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +6.3% paired with 11.37% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +6.3% // FCF YLD: 11.37%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 16.45 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 16.45 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 10.8x trailing P/E (10.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 10.8x // EV/EBITDA: 5.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $21.11 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Homebuilding require continuous execution to defend 19.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 19.7% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 10.8x
FORWARD P/E 10.0x
EV / EBITDA 5.0x
FCF YIELD 11.37%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 23.4%
NET MARGIN 19.7%
ROIC % 11.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +6.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.95
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AXRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $19.32
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for AXR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>