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AMREP Corporation (AXR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$21.11 +0.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.18

AMREP Corporation (AXR) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $112.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.18 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 24.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AXR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AXR SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.2% FCF Margin ($12.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 16.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$20.72-5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$19.68+6.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$20.93+0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$21.11+7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AXR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, AXR faces multiple-compression risk if 10.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.90) or 200D SMA ($24.29) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.82) toward Bear Floor ($17.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AXR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AXR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

46.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

16.45>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE31% OF RANGE

L: $18$21.11H: $29

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on AXR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (85)

11.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 11.37% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 16.45 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (72)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AXR

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AXR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AXR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $20.90H $21.11L $20.59C $21.11VOL 3.6K

RES: $21.92SUP: $19.13SMA50: $21.90SMA200: $24.29

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AXR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AXR Butterfly Map → + Track AXR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AXR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AXR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AXR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AXR)

Real Estate Rank #6 of 51 ⚔️ IRS vs AXR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (AXR vs. IRS, JOE, BXBL, SPHL)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMREP Corporation (AXR) ranks #6 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #24 by equity capitalization ($112.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AXR leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while JOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 43.1% gross margin. AXR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AXR ACTIVE AMREP Corporation	B+	76/100	10.8x	—	11.0%	+0.62%	$112.4M	Benchmark Subject
IRS IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones S.A. Global )	D+	55/100	—	—	—	+1.31%	$1.24B	/irs-vs-axr →
JOE St. Joe Company	B	75/100	35.1x	43.1%	18.1%	+5.39%	$4.06B	/joe-vs-axr →
BXBL BOXABL Inc.	D	44/100	46.1x	—	-23.4%	-26.64%	$65.7M	/bxbl-vs-axr →
SPHL Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)	E	34/100	—	13.7%	-27.0%	-8.99%	$29.8M	/sphl-vs-axr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000006207

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), AMREP Corporation (AXR) reported GAAP revenue of $52.8M (+6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $49.7M , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.4M, operating cash flow of $12.9M, and free cash flow of $12.8M (+32.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AXR closed FY2025 with $143.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 16.45, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-04-30	$52.8M	$10.4M	$12.9M	$12.8M	$143.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-04-30	$49.7M	$12.7M	$10.2M	$9.7M	$128.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-04-30	$51.4M	$6.7M	$10.7M	$10.7M	—	—

3. AXR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AMREP Corporation (NYSE: AXR) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $21.11 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $112.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, AXR ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AXR compare to IRS and JOE in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Homebuilding), AXR carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, IRS (IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones S.A. Global )) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.24B) and JOE (St. Joe Company) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 35.1x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $4.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXR leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXR?

Per AXR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000006207), AMREP Corporation generated $52.8M in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $10.4M in net income, and $12.8M in free cash flow against $143.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AXR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AXR last traded at $21.11 (+0.62% on volume of 4,126 shares), positioning the stock -3.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.90) and -13.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.29). Across its 52-week range of $17.61 to $29.01, AXR sits at the 30.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($19.57 to $22.65).

AXR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AXR stock right now?

AMREP Corporation (AXR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is AXR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AXR's 12-month base price target is $22.82 (range $17.31 to $30.46), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: AXR RQD Cockpit AXR 12M Forecast AXR Earnings & Move AXR Dividends & DRIP AXR Insiders & 13F AXR Whale Options AXR Profit Sankey AXR News & Why