Stock Ratings / Real Estate / AXR / options

IRS (50) JOE (76) BXBL (44) SPHL (36) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AMREP Corporation (AXR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$21.11 +0.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.09

AMREP Corporation (AXR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $112.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AXR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, AMREP Corporation (NYSE: AXR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $21.11 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $112.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, AXR ranks #13 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AXR compare to IRS and JOE in the Real Estate sector?

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Within the Real Estate sector (Homebuilding), AXR carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, IRS (IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones S.A. Global )) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.24B) and JOE (St. Joe Company) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 35.1x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $4.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXR leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXR?

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Per AXR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000006207), AMREP Corporation generated $52.8M in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $10.4M in net income, and $12.8M in free cash flow against $143.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.09 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 24.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AXR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AXR SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.2% FCF Margin ($12.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 16.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$20.30-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$19.58+5.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$20.59+2.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C$21.11+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AXR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, AXR faces multiple-compression risk if 10.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.86) or 200D SMA ($24.29) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.77) toward Bear Floor ($16.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AXR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AXR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7.3%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AXR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AXR.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AXR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AXR
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AXR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.58%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $20.98H $21.11L $20.98C $21.11VOL 4.1K

RES: $21.85SUP: $19.09SMA50: $21.86SMA200: $24.29

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AXR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AXR Butterfly Map → + Track AXR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AXR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AXR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AXR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AXR)

Real Estate Rank #13 of 51 ⚔️ IRS vs AXR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (AXR vs. IRS, JOE, BXBL, SPHL)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMREP Corporation (AXR) ranks #13 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #24 by equity capitalization ($112.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AXR leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while JOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 43.1% gross margin. JOE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with AXR at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AXR ACTIVE AMREP Corporation	C	65/100	10.8x	—	11.0%	+0.62%	$112.4M	Benchmark Subject
IRS IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones S.A. Global )	D	50/100	—	—	—	+1.31%	$1.24B	/irs-vs-axr →
JOE St. Joe Company	B+	76/100	35.1x	43.1%	18.1%	+5.39%	$4.06B	/joe-vs-axr →
BXBL BOXABL Inc.	D	44/100	46.1x	—	-23.4%	-26.64%	$65.7M	/bxbl-vs-axr →
SPHL Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	13.7%	-27.0%	-8.99%	$29.8M	/sphl-vs-axr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000006207

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), AMREP Corporation (AXR) reported GAAP revenue of $52.8M (+6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $49.7M , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.4M, operating cash flow of $12.9M, and free cash flow of $12.8M (+32.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AXR closed FY2025 with $143.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 16.45, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-04-30	$52.8M	$10.4M	$12.9M	$12.8M	$143.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-04-30	$49.7M	$12.7M	$10.2M	$9.7M	$128.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-04-30	$51.4M	$6.7M	$10.7M	$10.7M	—	—

3. AXR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AXR compare to IRS and JOE in the Real Estate sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXR?

Where is AXR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AXR last traded at $21.11 (+0.62% on volume of 4,126 shares), positioning the stock -3.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.86) and -13.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.29). Across its 52-week range of $17.61 to $29.01, AXR sits at the 30.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($19.57 to $22.65).