Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BXBL

SPHL (34) LRE (58) LGPS (56) ONEG (59) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell BXBL stock right now?

BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 44/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 46x P/E (-23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is BXBL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BXBL's 12-month base price target is $1.78 (range $1.39 to $15.9), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$1.90 -26.64% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.81

BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $65.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.81 (-4.99%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BXBL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BXBL SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($1.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$3.20-6.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.98+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$3.00-36.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.90-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BXBL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BXBL currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.59) and Max Pain ($1.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.90.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BXBL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BXBL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

18.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $2$1.90H: $15

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BXBL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

-23.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.26% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (35)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BXBL

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 46x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BXBL)

✓Walkthrough of BXBL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BXBL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -81.28%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $1.90H $2.05L $1.88C $1.90VOL 173.3K

RES: $12.57SUP: $2.99SMA50: $3.59SMA200: $7.88

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BXBL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BXBL Butterfly Map → + Track BXBL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

34.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BXBL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BXBL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BXBL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BXBL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #768 of 1011 ⚔️ SPHL vs BXBL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BXBL vs. SPHL, LRE, LGPS, ONEG)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) ranks #768 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #790 by equity capitalization ($65.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BXBL leads on earnings valuation at 46.1x trailing P/E, while BXBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -23.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ONEG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with BXBL at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BXBL ACTIVE BOXABL Inc.	D	44/100	46.1x	—	-23.4%	-26.64%	$65.7M	Benchmark Subject
SPHL Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)	E	34/100	—	13.7%	-27.0%	-8.99%	$29.8M	/sphl-vs-bxbl →
LRE Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.01%	$15.3M	/lre-vs-bxbl →
LGPS LogProstyle Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-1.67%	$13.9M	/lgps-vs-bxbl →
ONEG OneConstruction Group Limited	C-	59/100	—	-14.4%	—	-3.32%	$12.5M	/oneg-vs-bxbl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001906364

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $1.4M, operating cash flow of $1.5M, and free cash flow of $1.5M (+14998.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BXBL closed FY2025 with $82.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$1.4M	$1.5M	$1.5M	$82.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$25.9K	-$10.0K	-$10.0K	$169.0K	—

3. BXBL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BXBL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, BOXABL Inc. (NASDAQ: BXBL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (-26.64% 1D, market cap $65.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BXBL ranks #768 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BXBL compare to SPHL and LRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), BXBL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 46.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -23.4%. By comparison, SPHL (Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.0%, cap $29.8M) and LRE (Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BXBL leads on earnings multiple (46.1x) while BXBL leads on capital efficiency (-23.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BXBL?

Per BXBL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001906364), BOXABL Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $1.4M in net income, and $1.5M in free cash flow against $82.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BXBL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BXBL last traded at $1.90 (-26.64% on volume of 624,425 shares), positioning the stock -47.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.59) and -75.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.88). Across its 52-week range of $1.89 to $15.14, BXBL sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 18.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.66 to $2.14).

BXBL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BXBL stock right now?

BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 44/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 46x P/E (-23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BXBL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BXBL's 12-month base price target is $1.78 (range $1.39 to $15.9), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BXBL RQD Cockpit BXBL 12M Forecast BXBL Earnings & Move BXBL Dividends & DRIP BXBL Insiders & 13F BXBL Whale Options BXBL Profit Sankey BXBL News & Why