BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.90 -26.64% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.81

BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $65.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.81 (-4.99%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$16 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE BXBL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BXBL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BXBL SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($1.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$3.20-6.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$2.98+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$3.00-36.7% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$1.90-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BXBL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BXBL currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.59) and Max Pain ($1.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.90.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BXBL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BXBL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BXBL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BXBL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BXBL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -81.28%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $1.90H $2.05L $1.88C $1.90VOL 173.3K
RES: $12.57SUP: $2.99SMA50: $3.59SMA200: $7.88
$16.07$12.22$8.38$4.53$0.69RES $12.57SUP $2.99$1.902026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BXBL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
34.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BXBL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BXBL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BXBL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BXBL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #768 of 1011 ⚔️ SPHL vs BXBL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BXBL vs. SPHL, LRE, LGPS, ONEG)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) ranks #768 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #790 by equity capitalization ($65.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BXBL leads on earnings valuation at 46.1x trailing P/E, while BXBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -23.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ONEG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with BXBL at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BXBL ACTIVE
BOXABL Inc.
D 44/100 46.1x — -23.4% -26.64% $65.7M Benchmark Subject
SPHL
Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)
E 34/100 — 13.7% -27.0% -8.99% $29.8M /sphl-vs-bxbl →
LRE
Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd
D+ 58/100 — — — -0.01% $15.3M /lre-vs-bxbl →
LGPS
LogProstyle Inc.
D+ 56/100 — — — -1.67% $13.9M /lgps-vs-bxbl →
ONEG
OneConstruction Group Limited
C- 59/100 — -14.4% — -3.32% $12.5M /oneg-vs-bxbl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001906364

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $1.4M, operating cash flow of $1.5M, and free cash flow of $1.5M (+14998.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BXBL closed FY2025 with $82.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $1.4M $1.5M $1.5M $82.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$25.9K -$10.0K -$10.0K $169.0K —

3. BXBL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BXBL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, BOXABL Inc. (NASDAQ: BXBL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (-26.64% 1D, market cap $65.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BXBL ranks #768 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BXBL compare to SPHL and LRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), BXBL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 46.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -23.4%. By comparison, SPHL (Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.0%, cap $29.8M) and LRE (Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BXBL leads on earnings multiple (46.1x) while BXBL leads on capital efficiency (-23.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BXBL?

Per BXBL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001906364), BOXABL Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $1.4M in net income, and $1.5M in free cash flow against $82.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BXBL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BXBL last traded at $1.90 (-26.64% on volume of 624,425 shares), positioning the stock -47.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.59) and -75.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.88). Across its 52-week range of $1.89 to $15.14, BXBL sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 18.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.66 to $2.14).

BXBL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does BXBL pay a dividend and is it safe?

BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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