ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ATRO // Astronics Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000008063 ↗
Industrials • Military/Government/Technical
$62.88 ▲ +2.33 (+3.85%)
MKT CAP: $2.70B • VOL: 364.2K
ATRO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 59/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +144.7% vs NI +200% • ROIC-WACC +6.7% • Z 5.37
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 49% • VS 200D -0.3% • RSI 59.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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ATRO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.35%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $61.06H $62.88L $58.43C $62.88VOL 520.3K
RES: $103.7SUP: $55.62SMA50: $67.90SMA200: $66.19
$97.95$83.50$69.04$54.59$40.13RES $103.7SUP $55.62$62.882026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ATRO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 32/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) exhibits 29.9% gross margins and 13.2% return on invested capital within Industrials (Military/Government/Technical), balanced against a 39.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 29.9% gross profitability converts into 8.9% operating margin and 13.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.2% // GM: 29.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +8.4% paired with 2.77% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +8.4% // FCF YLD: 2.77%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.37 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.37 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 92.1x trailing P/E (85.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 92.1x // EV/EBITDA: 39.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $62.88 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Military/Government/Technical require continuous execution to defend 3.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.4% // D/E: 2.39x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 85.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 92.1x
FORWARD P/E 85.7x
EV / EBITDA 39.5x
FCF YIELD 2.77%
GROSS MARGIN 29.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.9%
NET MARGIN 3.4%
ROIC % 13.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +8.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.68
DEBT / EQUITY 2.39x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 38.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ATROPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $57.54
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>