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Astronics Corporation (ATRO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$62.88 +3.85% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.20

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.70B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.19 (+0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 8.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATRO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ATRO SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($74.8M FCF) & 29.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.37 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (38.8) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$64.22-4.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$61.53-5.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$57.89+8.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$62.88+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ATRO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, ATRO faces multiple-compression risk if 92.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 92x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.90) or 200D SMA ($66.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($63.16) toward Bear Floor ($49.26).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATRO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ATRO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

38.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

5.37>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE49% OF RANGE

L: $33$62.88H: $94

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (30% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ATRO

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

13.2% ROIC with 29.9% gross margin and 2.77% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 5.37 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (48)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ATRO

✓Strong cash generator (30% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 92x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ATRO Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ATRO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.35%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $61.06H $62.88L $58.43C $62.88VOL 520.3K

RES: $103.7SUP: $55.62SMA50: $67.90SMA200: $66.19

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ATRO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ATRO Butterfly Map → + Track ATRO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATRO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATRO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATRO)

Industrials Rank #180 of 485 ⚔️ DCO vs ATRO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ATRO vs. DCO, RDW, FLY, AADX)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Astronics Corporation (ATRO) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #190 by equity capitalization ($2.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRO leads on earnings valuation at 92.1x trailing P/E, while ATRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. ATRO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ATRO ACTIVE Astronics Corporation	C-	59/100	92.1x	29.9%	13.2%	+3.85%	$2.70B	Benchmark Subject
DCO Ducommun Incorporated	D	46/100	—	26.9%	-3.1%	+2.61%	$2.54B	/dco-vs-atro →
RDW Redwire Corporation	E	32/100	—	5.2%	-17.4%	+1.67%	$2.29B	/rdw-vs-atro →
FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc.	E	28/100	—	19.2%	-35.0%	+0.10%	$3.33B	/fly-vs-atro →
AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+7.65%	$2.04B	/aadx-vs-atro →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000008063

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Astronics Corporation (ATRO) reported GAAP revenue of $862.1M (+8.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $795.4M , and +25.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $29.4M, operating cash flow of $74.8M, and free cash flow of $74.8M (+144.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATRO closed FY2025 with $706.7M in total assets against $334.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.37, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$862.1M	$29.4M	$74.8M	$74.8M	$706.7M	$334.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$795.4M	-$16.2M	$30.6M	$30.6M	$648.8M	$168.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$689.2M	-$26.4M	-$23.9M	-$23.9M	—	—

3. ATRO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ATRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ: ATRO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $62.88 (+3.85% 1D, market cap $2.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ATRO ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ATRO compare to DCO and RDW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ATRO carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 92.1x, gross margin of 29.9%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, DCO (Ducommun Incorporated) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $2.54B) and RDW (Redwire Corporation) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATRO?

Per ATRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008063), Astronics Corporation generated $862.1M in revenue (+8.4% YoY), $29.4M in net income, and $74.8M in free cash flow against $706.7M in total assets and $334.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (30% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ATRO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ATRO last traded at $62.88 (+3.85% on volume of 364,166 shares), positioning the stock -7.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.90) and -5.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($66.19). Across its 52-week range of $33.12 to $94.46, ATRO sits at the 48.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($56.84 to $68.92).

ATRO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ATRO stock right now?

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 30% profit margin (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 92x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ATRO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ATRO's 12-month base price target is $63.16 (range $49.26 to $99.18), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ATRO RQD Cockpit ATRO 12M Forecast ATRO Earnings & Move ATRO Dividends & DRIP ATRO Insiders & 13F ATRO Whale Options ATRO Profit Sankey ATRO News & Why