MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
What Sent Honeywell Aerospace Stock Lower?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Why ATRO Stock surged +3.85% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$62.88 +3.85% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.20
Astronics Corporation (ATRO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.70B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.19 (+0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 8.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATRO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ATRO SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($74.8M FCF) & 29.9% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 5.37 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (38.8) create a -13 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$64.22-4.2% Next Q
67
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$61.53-5.9% Next Q
64
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$57.89+8.6% Next Q
62
CurrentGrade C-$62.88+0.2% Hist 90D α
59
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ATRO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, ATRO faces multiple-compression risk if 92.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Priced at 92x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.90) or 200D SMA ($66.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($63.16) toward Bear Floor ($49.26).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATRO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ATRO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ATRO Stock surged +3.85% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Astronics Corporation (ATRO) surged +3.85% to $62.88, trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($33.12 – $94.46). Solid 30% profit margin (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 92x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($33.12 – $94.46) with RSI-14 at 38.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.6% around $62.88 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 29.9% gross margin and $74.8M annual free cash flow.
Live ATRO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Merlin shares are trading lower after the company announced a $80 million PIPE investment.MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
What Is Behind The Move In Honeywell Aerospace Stock?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Leonardo DRS, Inc. (DRS) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Surpass EstimatesLeonardo DRS, Inc. (DRS) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +27.78% and +3.25%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Does Karman Stock's Valuation Make Sense?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
Astronics Corporation Announces Fiscal Year 2026 Third Quarter Financial Results Conference Call and WebcastEAST AURORA, N.Y., October 28, 2026--Astronics Corporation (Nasdaq: ATRO), a leading provider of advanced technologies for global aerospace, defense and other mission critical industries, announced that it will release i
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Has The Story Under ATI Stock Run Out?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 9d ago
Keybanc Initiates Coverage On Astronics with Sector Weight RatingKeybanc analyst Michael Leshock initiates coverage on Astronics (NASDAQ:ATRO) with a Sector Weight rating.
CATALYSTYahoo • 10d ago
3 U.S. Defense Stocks Retail Investors Are Watching After Lockheed Martin Guidance RaisedLockheed Martin just raised its 2026 sales and earnings guidance and reported a record backlog that stretches into the hundreds of billions, which signals how central large contractors have become to long-term spending p
CATALYSTYahoo • 12d ago
3 Market-Beating Stocks for Long-Term InvestorsStocks that outperform the market usually share key traits such as rising sales, expanding margins, and increasing returns on capital. The select few that can do all three for many years are often the ones that make you
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ATRO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ATRO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.35%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $61.06H $62.88L $58.43C $62.88VOL 520.3K
RES: $103.7SUP: $55.62SMA50: $67.90SMA200: $66.19
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ATRO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +8.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATRO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATRO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATRO)
Industrials Rank #180 of 485
⚔️ DCO vs ATRO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ATRO vs. DCO, RDW, FLY, AADX)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Astronics Corporation (ATRO) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #190 by equity capitalization ($2.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRO leads on earnings valuation at 92.1x trailing P/E, while ATRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. ATRO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATRO
ACTIVE
Astronics Corporation | C- | 59/100 | 92.1x | 29.9% | 13.2% | +3.85% | $2.70B | Benchmark Subject |
| DCO Ducommun Incorporated | D | 46/100 | — | 26.9% | -3.1% | +2.61% | $2.54B | /dco-vs-atro → |
| RDW Redwire Corporation | E | 32/100 | — | 5.2% | -17.4% | +1.67% | $2.29B | /rdw-vs-atro → |
| FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 19.2% | -35.0% | +0.10% | $3.33B | /fly-vs-atro → |
| AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +7.65% | $2.04B | /aadx-vs-atro → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000008063In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Astronics Corporation (ATRO) reported GAAP revenue of $862.1M (+8.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $795.4M , and +25.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $29.4M, operating cash flow of $74.8M, and free cash flow of $74.8M (+144.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATRO closed FY2025 with $706.7M in total assets against $334.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.37, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $862.1M | $29.4M | $74.8M | $74.8M | $706.7M | $334.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $795.4M | -$16.2M | $30.6M | $30.6M | $648.8M | $168.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $689.2M | -$26.4M | -$23.9M | -$23.9M | — | — |
3. ATRO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ATRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ: ATRO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $62.88 (+3.85% 1D, market cap $2.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ATRO ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ATRO compare to DCO and RDW in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ATRO carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 92.1x, gross margin of 29.9%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, DCO (Ducommun Incorporated) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $2.54B) and RDW (Redwire Corporation) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATRO?
Per ATRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008063), Astronics Corporation generated $862.1M in revenue (+8.4% YoY), $29.4M in net income, and $74.8M in free cash flow against $706.7M in total assets and $334.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (30% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ATRO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ATRO last traded at $62.88 (+3.85% on volume of 364,166 shares), positioning the stock -7.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.90) and -5.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($66.19). Across its 52-week range of $33.12 to $94.46, ATRO sits at the 48.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($56.84 to $68.92).
ATRO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ATRO stock moving today?
Why ATRO Stock surged +3.85% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 30% profit margin (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 92x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.