Redwire Corporation (RDW) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.16 +1.67% NYSE β€’ Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Redwire Corporation (RDW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh money.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $2.29B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk B
Cash (6)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$28 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ”΄ SUNDAY NIGHT PREP β€’ 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:57% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
43% PutsMax Pain: $9.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
38.730 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.59>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE
L: $5$9.16H: $27
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on RDW

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

-17.4% ROIC with 5.2% gross margin and -8.33% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

Put/Call 0.75x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RDW
  • βœ“Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
πŸ”΄ SUNDAY NIGHT PREP β€’ 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring RDW)

  • βœ“Live walkthrough of RDW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
RDW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.71%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $8.65H $8.87L $8.19C $8.39VOL 11.88M
RES: $10.18SUP: $7.52SMA50: $10.21SMA200: $11.08
$27.96$22.49$17.01$11.54$6.06RES $10.18SUP $7.52$8.392026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDW today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’

RDW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RDW stock right now?

Redwire Corporation (RDW) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell β€” SELL) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is RDW's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RDW's 12-month base price target is $9.16 (range $7.14 to $27.97), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.