Redwire Corporation (RDW) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$9.16 +1.67% NYSE β€’ Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Redwire Corporation (RDW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh money.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $2.29B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk B
Cash (6)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$28 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ”΄ SUNDAY NIGHT PREP β€’ 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:57% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
43% PutsMax Pain: $9.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How RDW Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$335.4MGross Profit $17.3M (5.2%)Cost of Sales $318.1MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $17.3MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $243.8M
FY24
Rev $304.1M
FY25
Rev $335.4M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$335.4M5.2%-68.5%-$226.6M-$190.8M-17.4%
FY 2024$304.1M14.6%-13.9%-$114.3M-$23.7M-45%
FY 2023$243.8M44%-6.4%-$27.3M-$9.7M-1.6%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring RDW)

  • βœ“Live walkthrough of RDW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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RDW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.71%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $8.65H $8.87L $8.19C $8.39VOL 11.88M
RES: $10.18SUP: $7.52SMA50: $10.21SMA200: $11.08
$27.96$22.49$17.01$11.54$6.06RES $10.18SUP $7.52$8.392026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDW today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’

RDW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Redwire Corporation (RDW)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), RDW converted $335.4M of revenue into a 5.2% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).