Stock Ratings / Industrials / ATRO / earnings

DCO (46) RDW (32) FLY (28) AADX (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.6% Move

$62.88 +3.85% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.20

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.70B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.19 (+0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 8.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATRO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ATRO SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($74.8M FCF) & 29.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.37 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (38.8) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$64.22-4.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$61.53-5.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$57.89+8.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$62.88+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ATRO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, ATRO faces multiple-compression risk if 92.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 92x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.90) or 200D SMA ($66.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($63.16) toward Bear Floor ($49.26).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATRO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ATRO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.6% Swing Band

±$6.04 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ATRO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $0.68 • YoY Revenue Growth: 8.4%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$862.1M	$29.4M	$74.8M	29.9%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$795.4M	-$16.2M	$30.6M	27.7%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$689.2M	-$26.4M	-$23.9M	29.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ATRO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ATRO
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ATRO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.35%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $61.06H $62.88L $58.43C $62.88VOL 520.3K

RES: $103.7SUP: $55.62SMA50: $67.90SMA200: $66.19

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ATRO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ATRO Butterfly Map → + Track ATRO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATRO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATRO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATRO)

Industrials Rank #180 of 485 ⚔️ DCO vs ATRO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ATRO vs. DCO, RDW, FLY, AADX)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Astronics Corporation (ATRO) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #190 by equity capitalization ($2.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRO leads on earnings valuation at 92.1x trailing P/E, while ATRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. ATRO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ATRO ACTIVE Astronics Corporation	C-	59/100	92.1x	29.9%	13.2%	+3.85%	$2.70B	Benchmark Subject
DCO Ducommun Incorporated	D	46/100	—	26.9%	-3.1%	+2.61%	$2.54B	/dco-vs-atro →
RDW Redwire Corporation	E	32/100	—	5.2%	-17.4%	+1.67%	$2.29B	/rdw-vs-atro →
FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc.	E	28/100	—	19.2%	-35.0%	+0.10%	$3.33B	/fly-vs-atro →
AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+7.65%	$2.04B	/aadx-vs-atro →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000008063

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Astronics Corporation (ATRO) reported GAAP revenue of $862.1M (+8.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $795.4M , and +25.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $29.4M, operating cash flow of $74.8M, and free cash flow of $74.8M (+144.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATRO closed FY2025 with $706.7M in total assets against $334.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.37, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$862.1M	$29.4M	$74.8M	$74.8M	$706.7M	$334.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$795.4M	-$16.2M	$30.6M	$30.6M	$648.8M	$168.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$689.2M	-$26.4M	-$23.9M	-$23.9M	—	—

3. ATRO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ATRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ: ATRO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $62.88 (+3.85% 1D, market cap $2.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ATRO ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ATRO compare to DCO and RDW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ATRO carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 92.1x, gross margin of 29.9%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, DCO (Ducommun Incorporated) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $2.54B) and RDW (Redwire Corporation) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATRO?

Per ATRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008063), Astronics Corporation generated $862.1M in revenue (+8.4% YoY), $29.4M in net income, and $74.8M in free cash flow against $706.7M in total assets and $334.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (30% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ATRO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ATRO last traded at $62.88 (+3.85% on volume of 364,166 shares), positioning the stock -7.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.90) and -5.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($66.19). Across its 52-week range of $33.12 to $94.46, ATRO sits at the 48.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($56.84 to $68.92).

ATRO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ATRO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Astronics Corporation (ATRO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ATRO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.6% event move for ATRO, spanning a range between $56.84 and $68.92.

Direct Sub-Reports: ATRO RQD Cockpit ATRO 12M Forecast ATRO Earnings & Move ATRO Dividends & DRIP ATRO Insiders & 13F ATRO Whale Options ATRO Profit Sankey ATRO News & Why