COMP <GO>
FOSL vs HD // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Fossil Group Inc. (NASDAQ) VS. Home Depot Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: FOSL 1
— HD 8
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $6.81 (+2.56%) • MKT CAP: $392.7M
options-implied-move
—
LAST: $341.15 (+3.63%) • MKT CAP: $328.44B
options-implied-move
—
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (FOSL VS. HD)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | FOSL | HD | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 56.10% | 33.30% | +22.80 | FOSL | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -7.20% | 32.90% | -40.10 | HD | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | — | 13.4x | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | -14.93% | 2.72% | -17.65 | HD | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | -1.90% | 12.70% | -14.60 | HD | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | — | 8.60% | — | TIE | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -12.30% | 3.20% | -15.50 | HD | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 2.79% | -2.79 | HD | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | — | 5.64 | — | TIE | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 2/9 | 5/9 | -3.00 | HD | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 51.5 | 67.5 | -16.00 | HD | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | — | 0.88 | — | TIE | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | — | 21.6x | — | TIE | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $392.7M | $328.44B | -$328.05B | HD | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | FOSL REV | HD REV | FOSL GROSS % | HD GROSS % | FOSL FCF | HD FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1.00B | $164.68B | 56.1% | 33.3% | -$60.5M | $8.91B |
| FY 2024 | $1.14B | $159.51B | 52.2% | 33.4% | $39.9M | $12.63B |
| FY 2023 | $1.41B | $152.67B | — | — | -$59.5M | $14.30B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
FOSL // BETA —
HD // BETA 0.88