Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) exhibits 56.1% gross margins and -7.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Consumer Specialties), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.
Sustained 56.1% gross profitability converts into -1.9% operating margin and -7.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.
ROIC: -7.2% // GM: 56.1%YoY revenue trajectory of -12.3% paired with -14.93% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.
REV YOY: -12.3% // FCF YLD: -14.93%Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.
ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 2/9Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.
P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $6.85 max pain.
IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Consumer Specialties require continuous execution to defend — net margins.
NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 1.96x| FILER | SIDE | $ VALUE |
|---|---|---|
| INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO> | ||
| STRIKE / EXP | TYPE | PREMIUM |
|---|---|---|
| INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO> | ||
Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for FOSL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.