ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

XPEL // XPEL Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001767258 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Specialties
$45.78 ▲ +1.91 (+4.35%)
MKT CAP: $1.26B • VOL: 249.8K
XPEL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 80/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
80 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
19 / 20
STRONG
FCF +53.1% vs NI +12.6% • ROIC-WACC +11.4% • Z 11.04
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +5% • P/E 20.7x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
17 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did XPEL's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever XPEL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

XPEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.86%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $45.55H $46.34L $45.34C $45.78VOL 155.2K
RES: $51.46SUP: $41.96SMA50: $46.10SMA200: $46.21
$53.55$49.83$46.11$42.39$38.68RES $51.46SUP $41.96$45.782026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
XPEL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 60/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) exhibits 42.2% gross margins and 21.6% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Specialties), balanced against a 18.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 42.2% gross profitability converts into 13.2% operating margin and 21.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 21.6% // GM: 42.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +13.3% paired with 4.99% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +13.3% // FCF YLD: 4.99%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 11.04 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 11.04 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.6x trailing P/E (20.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.6x // EV/EBITDA: 18.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $45.78 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Specialties require continuous execution to defend 10.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.8% // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 20.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 24.6x
FORWARD P/E 20.7x
EV / EBITDA 18.3x
FCF YIELD 4.99%
GROSS MARGIN 42.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.2%
NET MARGIN 10.8%
ROIC % 21.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +13.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.86
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 54.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // XPELPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $41.89
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for XPEL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>