ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

WLY // John Wiley & Sons Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000107140 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Books
$51.44 ▲ +0.86 (+1.70%)
MKT CAP: $2.61B • VOL: 335.7K
WLY // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 75/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
75 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 74% • VS 200D +8.9% • RSI 60.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +8% • P/E 11x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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WLY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.68%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $50.98H $52.38L $50.98C $51.44VOL 397.3K
RES: $54.05SUP: $48.41SMA50: $50.34SMA200: $43.38
$58.94$52.76$46.59$40.41$34.23RES $54.05SUP $48.41$51.442026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
WLY // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY) exhibits 74.3% gross margins and 15.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Books), balanced against a 10.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 74.3% gross profitability converts into 16.5% operating margin and 15.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 15.1% // GM: 74.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.1% paired with 8.02% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.1% // FCF YLD: 8.02%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.63 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.63 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 11.8x trailing P/E (11.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 11.8x // EV/EBITDA: 10.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $51.44 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Books require continuous execution to defend 13.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 13.2% // D/E: 1.06x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 11.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 11.8x
FORWARD P/E 11.0x
EV / EBITDA 10.3x
FCF YIELD 8.02%
GROSS MARGIN 74.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 16.5%
NET MARGIN 13.2%
ROIC % 15.1%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.37
DEBT / EQUITY 1.06x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.85%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 50.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // WLYPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $47.07
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>