ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

WINA // Winmark Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000908315 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Other Specialty Stores
$285.69 ▼ -1.19 (-0.41%)
MKT CAP: $1.02B • VOL: 125.5K
WINA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C+ (RQD 69) -> C (RQD 62)
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 -7D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +6.5% vs NI +4.3% • ROIC-WACC +75.9% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +4.4% • P/E 22.8x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.07 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.20
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did WINA's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever WINA is Upgraded or Downgraded.

WINA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $283.0H $286.9L $283.0C $285.7VOL 71.5K
RES: $313.7SUP: $241.5SMA50: $302.9SMA200: $377.7
$449.7$402.5$355.2$308.0$260.8RES $313.7SUP $241.5$285.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
WINA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Winmark Corporation (WINA) exhibits 96.0% gross margins and 84.5% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Other Specialty Stores), balanced against a 18.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 96.0% gross profitability converts into 63.4% operating margin and 84.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 84.5% // GM: 96.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.9% paired with 4.38% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.9% // FCF YLD: 4.38%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.5x trailing P/E (22.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.5x // EV/EBITDA: 18.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $285.69 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Specialty Stores require continuous execution to defend 48.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 48.4% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 22.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 24.5x
FORWARD P/E 22.8x
EV / EBITDA 18.5x
FCF YIELD 4.38%
GROSS MARGIN 96.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 63.4%
NET MARGIN 48.4%
ROIC % 84.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $11.70
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.81%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 44.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // WINAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $261.42
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>